GELUC – Greenhouse gas effects of global land-use competition: A biophysical biomass/land-use model for analyzing land-system feedbacks

Haberl Helmut

Institute of Social Ecology (SEC)

01.12.2016 - 31.03.2021

Research project (§ 26 & § 27)

Program Einzelprojekte

Funder Austrian Science Fund (FWF)

Competencies

Boden und Landökosysteme
Wasser - Atmosphäre - Umwelt
Lebensraum und Landschaft
Nachwachsende Rohstoffe und neue Technologien
Lebensmittel, Ernährung, Gesundheit
Nanowissenschaften und -technologie

Abstract

The world population is expected to grow to nine billions in the next decades. In combination with economic growth, this may result in a 70-100% increase of agricultural demand until 2050. Motivated by concerns over the finiteness and adverse climatic effects of fossil fuels, efforts are undertaken to raise the supply of biomass for bioenergy and raw materials. Biomass use for those purposes may increase by a factor of 2-5 until 2050. Increases in biomass demand may drive up pressures on terrestrial ecosystems, contribute to greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and result in an extension of land use into unused areas as well as in an intensification of land use in other areas. Systemic effects related to increasing land-use competition are yet poorly understood. The project GELUC aims to develop the consistent, data-based model BioBaM-GHG (“Biomass Balance Model with Greenhouse Gas Emissions”). BioBaM-GHG will link biomass flows with spatially explicit land-use data and assess the biophysical option space of developments of, e.g., diets, bioenergy, food-chain losses, yields, livestock feed conversion ratios and land use. Options to be analysed include the area demand effects of a promotion of organic agriculture and of bioenergy, changes in area demand and GHG emissions that may result from switches in diets or reduced food-supply-chain losses. Scenario analyses conducted in GELUC will explore viable options for reducing GHG emissions in the global land-use system.

Publications

Unheated soil-grown winter vegetables in Austria: Greenhouse gas emissions and socio-economic factors of diffusion potential

Autoren: Theurl, MC; Hortenhuber, SJ; Lindenthal, T; Palme, W Jahr: 2017

Journal articles
The Material Stock-Flow-Service Nexus: A New Approach for Tackling the Decoupling Conundrum

Autoren: Haberl, H; Wiedenhofer, D; Erb, KH; Gorg, C; Krausmann, F Jahr: 2017

Journal articles
Challenges for Social-Ecological Transformations: Contributions from Social and Political Ecology

Autoren: Gorg, C; Brand, U; Haberl, H; Hummel, D; Jahn, T; Liehr, S Jahr: 2017

Journal articles
Assessing wood use efficiency and greenhouse gas emissions of wood product cascading in the European Union

Autoren: Bais-Moleman, AL; Sikkema, R; Vis, M; Reumerman, P; Theurl, MC; Erb, KH Jahr: 2018

Journal articles
A Transition to Which Bioeconomy? An Exploration of Diverging Techno-Political Choices

Autoren: Hausknost, D; Schriefl, E; Lauk, C; Kalt, G Jahr: 2017

Journal articles
The option space for feeding the world in 2050 without deforestation: exploring the role of diets and agricultural technology

Autoren: Haberl, H Jahr: 2017

Conference & Workshop proceedings, paper, abstract
Interregional flows of ecosystem services: Concepts, typology and four cases

Autoren: Schroter, M; Koellner, T; Alkemade, R; Arnhold, S; Bagstad, KJ; Erb, KH; Frank, K; Kastner, T; Kissinger, M; Liu, JG; Lopez-Hoffman, L; Maes, J; Marques, A; Martin-Lopez, B; Meyer, C; Schulp, CJE; Thober, J; Wolff, S; Bonn, A Jahr: 2018

Journal articles
Carbon dynamics and GHG implications of increasing wood construction: long-term scenarios for residential buildings in Austria

Autoren: Kalt, G Jahr: 2018

Journal articles
Consequences from Land Use and Indirect/Direct Land Use Change for CO2 Emissions Related to Agricultural Commodities

Autoren: Hörtenhuber, S; Theurl, MC; Piringer, G; Zollitsch, W Jahr: 2018

Chapter in collected volumes
TWI2050 – The World in 2050. Transformations to Achieve the Sustainable Development Goals. Report prepared by The World in 2050 initiative

Autoren: Kriegler, E; Messner, D; Nakicenovic, N; Riahi, K; Rockström, J; Sachs, J; van der Leeuw, S; van Vuuren, D; Aguiar, AP; Berg, L; Bhowmik, A; Biberman, J; Boza-Kiss, B; Breuer, A; Buscaglia, D; Busch, S; Campagnolo, L; Chabay, I; Clarke, G; Collste, D; Cornell, S; Creutzig, F; Dombrowsky, I; Ebi, KL; Edelenbosch, O; Edmonds, J; Fujimori, S; Gaffney, O; Goujon, A; Grubler, A; Haberl, H; Hasegawa, T; Hayha, T; Janetschek, H; Kamei, M; Kolp, P; Leininger, J; Lotze-Campen, H; McCollum, D; Miola, A; Murray, K; Muttarak, R; Obersteiner, M; Pachauri, S; Parkinson, S; Popp, A; Portugal Pereira, J; Puyana, JM; Rauchenwald, V; Ruhe, C; Schaeffer, R; Scheelbeek, P; Schmidt, J; Schmidt-Traub, G; Sellers, S; Sempeho, G; Svedin, U; Vafeidis, A; van Soest, H; Verburg, G; Wada, Y; Zimm, C (Eds.) Jahr: 2018

Editorial
Assessing the impact of land use on the carbon state of global vegetation

Autoren: Erb, KH; Gingrich, S; Niedertscheider, M; Plutzar, C; Haberl, H Jahr: 2018

Journal articles
Biomasse im Spannungsfeld zwischen Energie- und Klimapolitik. Potenziale – Technologien – Zielkonflikte. Analyse

Autoren: Klepper, G; Thrän, D; von Cramon-Taubadel, S; Dahmen, N; Erb, KH; Geden, O; Haberl, H; Hirschl, B; Heinbach, K; Krautkremer, B; Liebscher, A; Sauer, J; Schulze, ED; Schweizer-Ries, P; Rau, I; Hildebrandt, J; Strefler, J; Baur, F; Nelles, M; Erlach, B; Henning, C; Schünemann, F Jahr: 2019

Monographs
Biomasse im Spannungsfeld zwischen Energie- und Klimapolitik. Stragegien für eine nachhaltige Bioenergienutzung. Stellungnahme

Autoren: Klepper, G; Thrän, D; von Cramon-Taubadel, S; Dahmen, N; Erb, KH; Geden, O; Haberl, H; Hirschl, B; Heinbach, K; Krautkremer, B; Liebscher, A; Sauer, J; Schulze, ED; Schweizer-Ries, P; Rau, I; Strefler, J; Baur, F; Nelles, M; Erlach, B; Henning, C; Schünemann, F Jahr: 2019

Monographs
Increasing impacts of land use on biodiversity and carbon sequestration driven by population and economic growth

Autoren: Marques, A; Martins, IS; Kastner, T; Plutzar, C; Theurl, MC; Eisenmenger, N; Huijbregts, MAJ; Wood, R; Stadler, K; Bruckner, M; Canelas, J; Hilbers, JP; Tukker, A; Erb, K; Pereira, HM Jahr: 2019

Journal articles
2nd generation biofuels from short rotation plantations are less efficient in climate-change mitigation than reforestation within reasonable timeframes

Autoren: Kalt, G; Erb, K-H; Theurl, MC; Lauk, C; Mayer, A; Haberl, H Jahr: 2019

Conference & Workshop proceedings, paper, abstract
Combatting climate change through land conversion: Carbon benefits from bioenergy plantations vs. natural succession

Autoren: Kalt, G; Lauk, C; Haberl, H; Mayer, A; Theurl, MC; Erb, K-H Jahr: 2019

Conference & Workshop proceedings, paper, abstract
Climate impacts of feasible food/agriculture/land-use scenarios in a zero-deforestation world in 2050

Autoren: Theurl, MC; Lauk, C; Kalt, G; Mayer, A; Kaltenegger, K; Winiwarter, W; Erb, KH; Haberl, H Jahr: 2019

Conference & Workshop proceedings, paper, abstract
Natural climate solutions versus bioenergy: Can carbon benefits of natural succession compete with bioenergy from short rotation coppice?

Autoren: Kalt, G; Mayer, A; Theurl, MC; Lauk, C; Erb, KH; Haberl, H; Jahr: 2019

Journal articles
Quantifying and analysing global spatio-temporal patterns of land-use change: the role of natural vs. anthropogenic changes for the Human Appropriation of Net Primary Production

Autoren: Matej, S; Kastner, T; Niedertscheider, M; Forrest, M; Hickler, T; Steinkamp, J; Lauk, C; Plutzar, C; Gingrich, S; Haberl, H; Krausmann, F; Erb, KH Jahr: 2019

Conference & Workshop proceedings, paper, abstract
Reply to: Soils need to be considered when assessing the impacts of land-use change on carbon sequestration

Autoren: Kastner, T; Marques, A; Martins, IS; Plutzar, C; Theurl, MC; Eisenmenger, N; Huijbregts, MAJ; Wood, R; Stadler, K; Bruckner, M; Canelas, J; Hilbers, JP; Tukker, A; Erb, KH; Pereira, HM Jahr: 2019

Journal articles
Large greenhouse gas savings due to changes in the post-Soviet food systems

Autoren: Schierhorn, F; Kastner, T; Kuemmerle, T; Meyfroidt, P; Kurganova, I; Prishchepov, AV; Erb, KH; Houghton, RA; Muller, D Jahr: 2019

Journal articles
Contributions of sociometabolic research to sustainability science

Autoren: Haberl, H; Wiedenhofer, D; Pauliuk, S; Krausmann, F; Muller, DB; Fischer-Kowalski, M Jahr: 2019

Journal articles
Greenhouse gas implications of mobilizing agricultural biomass for energy: a reassessment of global potentials in 2050 under different food-system pathways

Autoren: Kalt, G; Lauk, C; Mayer, A; Theurl, MC; Kaltenegger, K; Winiwarter, W; Erb, KH; Matej, S; Haberl, H Jahr: 2020

Journal articles
Global human "predation" on plant growth and biomass

Autoren: Jenkins, DG; Haberl, H; Erb, KH; Nevai, AL Jahr: 2020

Journal articles
Food systems in a zero -deforestation world: Dietary change is more important than intensi fication for climate targets in 2050

Autoren: Theurl, MC; Lauk, C; Kalt, G; Mayer, A; Kaltenegger, K; Morais, TG; Teixeira, RFM; Domingos, T; Winiwarter, W; Erb, KH; Haberl, H Jahr: 2020

Journal articles
Biodiversity policy beyond economic growth

Autoren: Otero, I; Farrell, KN; Pueyo, S; Kallis, G; Kehoe, L; Haberl, H; Plutzar, C; Hobson, P; Garcia-Marquez, J; Rodriguez-Labajos, B; Martin, JL; Erb, KH; Schindler, S; Nielsen, J; Skorin, T; Settele, J; Essl, F; Gomez-Baggethun, E; Brotons, L; Rabitsch, W; Schneider, F; Pe'er, G Jahr: 2020

Journal articles
Global inequalities in food consumption, cropland demand and land-use efficiency: A decomposition analysis

Autoren: Duro, JA; Lauk, C; Kastner, T; Erb, KH; Haberl, H Jahr: 2020

Journal articles
Globale Biodiversität in der Krise – Was können Deutschland und die EU dagegen tun? Diskussion Nr. 24

Autoren: Drenckhahn, D; Arneth, A; Filser, J; Haberl, H; Hansjürgens, B; Herrmann, B; Homeier, J; Leuschner, C; Mosbrugger, V; Reusch, T; Schäffer, A; Scherer-Lorenzen, M; Tockner, K Jahr: 2020

Monographs
Globale Biodiversität in der Krise – Was können Deutschland und die EU dagegen tun? Dokumentationsband zu Diskussion Nr. 24

Autoren: Drenckhahn, D; Arneth, A; Filser, J; Haberl, H; Hansjürgens, B; Herrmann, B; Homeier, J; Leuschner, C; Mosbrugger, V; Reusch, T; Schäffer, A; Scherer-Lorenzen, M; Tockner, K Jahr: 2020

Monographs
Adding country resolution to EXIOBASE: impacts on land use embodied in trade.

Autoren: Bjelle, EL; Többen, J; Stadler, K; Kastner, T; Theurl, MC; Erb, KH; Olsen, KS; Wiebe, KS; Wood, R; Jahr: 2020

Journal articles
Considering sustainability thresholds for BECCS in IPCC and biodiversity assessments

Autoren: Creutzig, F; Erb, KH; Haberl, H; Hof, C; Hunsberger, C; Roe, S Jahr: 2021

Journal articles
Gridded soil surface nitrogen surplus on grazing and agricultural land: Impact of land use maps

Autoren: Kaltenegger, K; Erb, KH; Matej, S; Winiwarter, W Jahr: 2021

Journal articles
Agroecological measures and circular economy strategies to ensure sufficient nitrogen for sustainable farming

Autoren: Morais, TG; Teixeira, RFM; Lauk, C; Theurl, MC; Winiwarter, W; Mayer, A; Kaufmann, L; Haberl, H; Domingos, T; Erb, KH Jahr: 2021

Journal articles
Exploring the option space for land system futures at regional to global scales: The diagnostic agro-food, land use and greenhouse gas emission model BioBaM-GHG 2.0

Autoren: Kalt, G; Mayer, A; Haberl, H; Kaufmann, L; Lauk, C; Matej, S; Roos, E; Theurl, MC; Erb, KH Jahr: 2021

Journal articles
Land use intensification increasingly drives the spatiotemporal patterns of the global human appropriation of net primary production in the last century.

Autoren: Kastner, T; Matej, S; Forrest, M; Gingrich, S; Haberl, H; Hickler, T; Krausmann, F; Lasslop, G; Niedertscheider, M; Plutzar, C; Schwarzmüller, F; Steinkamp, J; Erb, KH; Jahr: 2022

Journal articles
Report on territorial impacts and lessons learnt of the diffusion of agro-ecological farming systems (AEFS) in the European Union. Deliverable Report D4.3, UNISECO (grant agreement No 773901)

Autoren: Mayer, A; Muller, A; Kalt, G; Roux, N; Weisshaidinger, R; Röös, E; Kaufmann, L; Matej, S; Theurl, MC; Ferguson, S; Hart, R; Smith, P; Erb, KH Jahr: 2021

Forschungsbericht (extern. Auftraggeber)
Relative effects of land conversion and land-use intensity on terrestrial vertebrate diversity

Autoren: Semenchuk, P; Plutzar, C; Kastner, T; Matej, S; Bidoglio, G; Erb, KH; Essl, F; Haberl, H; Wessely, J; Krausmann, F; Dullinger, S Jahr: 2022

Journal articles
Changes in perspective needed to forge 'no-regret' forest-based climate change mitigation strategies

Autoren: Erb, KH; Haberl, H; Le Noe, J; Tappeiner, U; Tasser, E; Gingrich, S Jahr: 2022

Journal articles
Regional self-sufficiency: A multi-dimensional analysis relating agricultural production and consumption in the European Union

Autoren: Kaufmann, L; Mayer, A; Matej, S; Kalt, G; Lauk, C; Theurl, MC; Erb, KH Jahr: 2022

Journal articles

Project staff

Helmut Haberl

Univ.Prof. Mag. Dr. Helmut Haberl
helmut.haberl@boku.ac.at
Tel: +43 1 47654-73714

Project Leader

01.12.2016 - 31.03.2021

Gerald Kalt

Dipl.-Ing. Dr. Gerald Kalt

Project Staff

01.12.2016 - 31.03.2021

Thomas Kastner

Mag.rer.nat. Dr. Thomas Kastner

Project Staff

01.12.2016 - 31.03.2021

Christian Lauk

Mag.rer.nat. Dr.phil. Christian Lauk
christian.lauk@boku.ac.at
Tel: +43 1 47654-73725

Project Staff

01.12.2016 - 31.03.2021

Andreas Mayer

Mag. Dr.rer.soc.oec. Andreas Mayer
andreas.mayer@boku.ac.at
Tel: +43 1 47654-73727

Project Staff

01.12.2016 - 31.03.2021

Michaela Theurl

Mag. Dr. Michaela Theurl
michaela.theurl@boku.ac.at

Project Staff

01.12.2016 - 31.03.2021

BOKU partners

Institute of Social Ecology (SEC)

role coordinator

GELUC – Greenhouse gas effects of global land-use competition: A biophysical biomass/land-use model for analyzing land-system feedbacks

Abstract

Publications

Unheated soil-grown winter vegetables in Austria: Greenhouse gas emissions and socio-economic factors of diffusion potential

The Material Stock-Flow-Service Nexus: A New Approach for Tackling the Decoupling Conundrum

Challenges for Social-Ecological Transformations: Contributions from Social and Political Ecology

Assessing wood use efficiency and greenhouse gas emissions of wood product cascading in the European Union

A Transition to Which Bioeconomy? An Exploration of Diverging Techno-Political Choices

The option space for feeding the world in 2050 without deforestation: exploring the role of diets and agricultural technology

Interregional flows of ecosystem services: Concepts, typology and four cases

Carbon dynamics and GHG implications of increasing wood construction: long-term scenarios for residential buildings in Austria

Consequences from Land Use and Indirect/Direct Land Use Change for CO2 Emissions Related to Agricultural Commodities

TWI2050 – The World in 2050. Transformations to Achieve the Sustainable Development Goals. Report prepared by The World in 2050 initiative

Assessing the impact of land use on the carbon state of global vegetation

Biomasse im Spannungsfeld zwischen Energie- und Klimapolitik. Potenziale – Technologien – Zielkonflikte. Analyse

Biomasse im Spannungsfeld zwischen Energie- und Klimapolitik. Stragegien für eine nachhaltige Bioenergienutzung. Stellungnahme

Increasing impacts of land use on biodiversity and carbon sequestration driven by population and economic growth

2nd generation biofuels from short rotation plantations are less efficient in climate-change mitigation than reforestation within reasonable timeframes

Combatting climate change through land conversion: Carbon benefits from bioenergy plantations vs. natural succession

Climate impacts of feasible food/agriculture/land-use scenarios in a zero-deforestation world in 2050

Natural climate solutions versus bioenergy: Can carbon benefits of natural succession compete with bioenergy from short rotation coppice?

Quantifying and analysing global spatio-temporal patterns of land-use change: the role of natural vs. anthropogenic changes for the Human Appropriation of Net Primary Production

Reply to: Soils need to be considered when assessing the impacts of land-use change on carbon sequestration

Large greenhouse gas savings due to changes in the post-Soviet food systems

Contributions of sociometabolic research to sustainability science

Greenhouse gas implications of mobilizing agricultural biomass for energy: a reassessment of global potentials in 2050 under different food-system pathways

Global human "predation" on plant growth and biomass

Food systems in a zero -deforestation world: Dietary change is more important than intensi fication for climate targets in 2050

Biodiversity policy beyond economic growth

Global inequalities in food consumption, cropland demand and land-use efficiency: A decomposition analysis

Globale Biodiversität in der Krise – Was können Deutschland und die EU dagegen tun? Diskussion Nr. 24

Globale Biodiversität in der Krise – Was können Deutschland und die EU dagegen tun? Dokumentationsband zu Diskussion Nr. 24

Adding country resolution to EXIOBASE: impacts on land use embodied in trade.

Considering sustainability thresholds for BECCS in IPCC and biodiversity assessments

Gridded soil surface nitrogen surplus on grazing and agricultural land: Impact of land use maps

Agroecological measures and circular economy strategies to ensure sufficient nitrogen for sustainable farming

Exploring the option space for land system futures at regional to global scales: The diagnostic agro-food, land use and greenhouse gas emission model BioBaM-GHG 2.0

Land use intensification increasingly drives the spatiotemporal patterns of the global human appropriation of net primary production in the last century.

Report on territorial impacts and lessons learnt of the diffusion of agro-ecological farming systems (AEFS) in the European Union. Deliverable Report D4.3, UNISECO (grant agreement No 773901)

Relative effects of land conversion and land-use intensity on terrestrial vertebrate diversity

Changes in perspective needed to forge 'no-regret' forest-based climate change mitigation strategies

Regional self-sufficiency: A multi-dimensional analysis relating agricultural production and consumption in the European Union

Project staff

Helmut Haberl

Gerald Kalt

Thomas Kastner

Christian Lauk

Andreas Mayer

Michaela Theurl

BOKU partners

Institute of Social Ecology (SEC)