Climate Change Terrestrial Adaptation and Mitigation in Europe

The project will assess the impacts of agricultural, climate, energy, forestry and other associated landuse policies, considering the resulting feedbacks on the climate system. Geographically explicit biophysical models together with an integrated cluster of economic landuse models will be coupled with regional climate models to assess and identify mitigation and adaptation strategies in European agriculture and forestry. The role of distribution and pressures from socioeconomic drivers will be assessed in a geographically nested fashion. Crop/trees growth models operating on the plot level as well as on continental scales will quantify a rich set of mitigation and adaptation strategies focusing on climatic extreme events. The robustness of response strategies to extreme events will further be assessed with risk and uncertainty augmented farm/forest enterprise models. Bioenergy sources and pathways will be assessed with grid level models in combination with economic energylanduse models. The results from the integrated CCTAME model cluster will be used to provide: quantitative assessments in terms of costefficiency and environmental effectiveness of individual landuse practices; competitive LULUCF mitigation potentials taking into account ancillary benefits, tradeoffs and welfare impacts, and policy implications in terms of instrument design and international negotiations. The proposed structure of the integrated CCTAME model cluster allows us, to provide an evaluation of policy options at a great level of detail for EU25(27) in a postKyoto regime, as well as to offer perspectives on global longerterm policy strategies in accordance with the principles and objectives of the UNFCCCC. Close interactions with policymakers and stakeholders will ensure the policy relevance of CCTAME results.