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Störungen in Waldökosystemen in einer Welt im Wandel

Projektleitung
Seidl Rupert, Projektleiter/in
Laufzeit:
01.03.2016-28.02.2022
Programm:
START-Programm
Art der Forschung
Grundlagenforschung
Projektpartner*innen
Czech University of Life Sciences Prague, 165 21 Prague 6 – Suchdol, Tschechische Republik.
Funktion des Projektpartners: Partner
European Forest Institute, Europäische Union.
Funktion des Projektpartners: Partner
Forest Research Institute Zvolen, Slowakei.
Funktion des Projektpartners: Partner
Nationalpark Bayerischer Wald, Deutschland.
Funktion des Projektpartners: Partner
Mitarbeiter*innen
Rammer Werner, Projektmitarbeiter/in
Albrich Katharina, Projektmitarbeiter/in
Krismer Hanna, Projektmitarbeiter/in (bis 31.12.2016)
Sommerfeld Andreas, Projektmitarbeiter/in (bis 31.12.2019)
Beteiligte BOKU-Organisationseinheiten
Institut für Waldbau
Gefördert durch
Fonds zur Förderung der wissenschaftlichen Forschung (FWF) , Sensengasse 1, 1090 Wien, Österreich
Abstract
Der Klimawandel hat tiefgreifende Auswirkungen auf einen Vielzahl von ökologischen Prozessen und beeinflusst zunehmend die Artenzusammensetzung, Struktur, und Funktion von Ökosystemen. Die hohe Geschwindigkeit des fortschreitenden Wandels stellt vor allem für langlebige Ökosysteme wie Wälder ein Problem dar und limitiert deren Anpassung durch genetische und evolutionäre Prozesse. Durch die zunehmend schlechtere Umweltanpassung steigt das Risiko von abrupten und zerstörerischen Änderungen. Störungen durch Wind, Borkenkäfer und Waldbrand haben in den vergangenen Jahrzehnten bereits deutlich zugenommen. Die langfristigen Änderungen in derartigen Störungsregimes im Wald sowie deren Auswirkungen werden jedoch erst bruchstückhaft verstanden, was eine entsprechende Anpassung im Management von Ökosystemen stark einschränkt. Ziel des vorliegenden Projektes ist es daher, (i) ein tieferes systemisches Verständnis über die Einflussfaktoren auf Störungsregimes zu erlangen, (ii) deren Auswirkungen auf biologische Diversität und Ökosystemleistungen umfassend zu quantifizieren, und basierend auf diesen Erkenntnissen (iii) Strategien zu entwickeln wie Ökosystemmanagement und Gesellschaft mit derartigen Änderungen umgehen können. Zur Beantwortung dieser Fragen werden Waldlandschaften unter gleichen biogeographischen Bedingungen aber unterschiedlicher Bewirtschaftung (Nationalpark vs. bewirtschaftete Landschaft) in Mitteleuropa untersucht. In einem interdisziplinären Ansatz wird für dieses Netzwerk von Studienlandschaften mittels Jahrringanalysen das Störungsregime der letzten Jahrhunderte rekonstruiert, die Ausdehnung aktueller Störungen auf Basis von Fernerkundungsdaten ermittelt, sowie mögliche zukünftige Entwicklungen unter einem Ensemble von Klimaszenarien mittels Computersimulation abgeschätzt. Darauf aufbauend kann zum ersten Mal für eine Region in Europa festgemacht werden ob sich heutige und mögliche zukünftige Störungsregimes signifikant von vergangenen Perioden unterscheiden. Weiters werden die Auswirkungen von sich ändernden Störungsregimes auf Biodiversität abgeschätzt sowie deren Wirkungen auf bereitstellende (Holzproduktion), regulierende (Kohlenstoffspeicherung, Wasserrückhalt), kulturelle (Erholungswert) und unterstützende (Primärproduktion) Ökosystemleistungen quantifiziert. In Zusammenarbeit mit Stakeholdern werden basierend auf Simulationsergebnissen Strategien zum Umgang mit Störungen bei unterschiedlichen Bewirtschaftungszielen (Schutz von Artenvielfalt, Bereitstellung von verschiedenen Ökosystemleistungen) erarbeitet. Darüber hinaus werden als Entscheidungsunterstützung für Politik und Katastrophenschutz risikorelevante Ergebnisse auf regionale Ebene skaliert. Das Projekt wird so nicht nur das Verständnis von Störungsprozessen sowie deren Berücksichtigung im Ökosystemmanagement revolutionieren sondern auch konzeptionelle und methodische Fortschritte in Hinblick auf den Umgang mit Risiko und Resilienz bei abrupten Umweltänderungen liefern.
Schlagworte
Computersimulation; Klimawandel; Ökosystemforschung; Waldbau; Waldökologie;
Klimafolgen; Ökosystemmodellierung; Risiko und Resilienz; Störungsökologie; Waldökosystemmanagement;
Publikationen

** Dirnb?ck, T; Kraus, D; Grote, R; Klatt, S; Kobler, J; Schindlbacher, A; Seidl, R; Thom, D; Kiese, R Substantial understory contribution to the C sink of a European temperate mountain forest landscape.

LANDSCAPE ECOL. 2020; 35(2): 483-499. WoS PubMed FullText FullText_BOKU

** Dobor, L; Hlásny, T; Rammer, W; Zimová, S; Barka, I; Seidl, R; Spatial configuration matters when removing windfelled trees to manage bark beetle disturbances in Central European forest landscapes..

J Environ Manage. 2020; 254:109792 WoS PubMed FullText FullText_BOKU

** Hansen, WD; Abendroth, D; Rammer, W; Seidl, R; Turner, MG; Can wildland fire management alter 21st-century subalpine fire and forests in Grand Teton National Park, Wyoming, USA?.

Ecol Appl. 2020; 30(2):e02030 WoS PubMed FullText FullText_BOKU

** Honkaniemi, J; Rammer, W; Seidl, R Norway spruce at the trailing edge: the effect of landscape configuration and composition on climate resilience.

LANDSCAPE ECOL. 2020; 35(3): 591-606. WoS PubMed FullText FullText_BOKU

** Huang, JB; Kautz, M; Trowbridge, AM; Hammerbacher, A; Raffa, KF; Adams, HD; Goodsman, DW; Xu, CG; Meddens, AJH; Kandasamy, D; Gershenzon, J; Seidl, R; Hartmann, H Tree defence and bark beetles in a drying world: carbon partitioning, functioning and modelling.

NEW PHYTOL. 2020; 225(1): 26-36. WoS PubMed FullText FullText_BOKU

Sebald, J; Senf C; Seidl R (2020): Einfluss von Störungen auf Wildbachereignisse.

Österreichische Forstzeitung, 05-2020, 10-12; ISSN 1012-4667

Sebald, J; Rammer, W; Seidl, R (2020): The role of alpha and beta diversity in buffering the effects of intensifying disturbance regimes under climate change.
[Managing forests in the 21st century, Potsdam, Germany, MAR 3-5, 2020]

Hlásny, T., Krokene, P., Liebhold, A., Montagné-Huck, C., Müller, J., Qin, H., Raffa, K., Schelhaas, M.J., Seidl, R., Svoboda, M., Viiri, H. (2019): Living with bark beetles: impacts, outlook and management options.

From Science to Policy 8, 50, European Forest Institute, Joensuu, Finland; ISBN: 978-952-5980-75-2 FullText

** Bugmann, H; Seidl, R; Hartig, F; Bohn, F; Bruna, J; Cailleret, M; Francois, L; Heinke, J; Henrot, AJ; Hickler, T; Hulsmann, L; Huth, A; Jacquemin, I; Kollas, C; Lasch-Born, P; Lexer, MJ; Merganic, J; Merganicova, K; Mette, T; Miranda, BR; Nadal-Sala, D; Rammer, W; Rammig, A; Reineking, B; Roedig, E; Sabate, S; Steinkamp, J; Suckow, F; Vacchiano, G; Wild, J; Xu, CG; Reyer, CPO Tree mortality submodels drive simulated long-term forest dynamics: assessing 15 models from the stand to global scale.

ECOSPHERE. 2019; 10(2), e02616 WoS FullText FullText_BOKU

** Rammer, W; Seidl, R A scalable model of vegetation transitions using deep neural networks.

METHODS ECOL EVOL. 2019; 10(6): 879-890. WoS PubMed PUBMED Central FullText FullText_BOKU

** Rammer, W; Seidl, R Harnessing Deep Learning in Ecology: An Example Predicting Bark Beetle Outbreaks.

FRONT PLANT SCI. 2019; 10, 1327 WoS PubMed FullText FullText_BOKU

** Sebald, J; Senf, C; Heiser, M; Scheidl, C; Pflugmacher, D; Seidl, R The effects of forest cover and disturbance on torrential hazards: large-scale evidence from the Eastern Alps.

ENVIRON RES LETT. 2019; 14(11), 114032 WoS FullText FullText_BOKU

** Seidl, R; Albrich, K; Erb, K; Formayer, H; Leidinger, D; Leitinger, G; Tappeiner, U; Tasser, E; Rammer, W What drives the future supply of regulating ecosystem services in a mountain forest landscape?.

FOREST ECOL MANAG. 2019; 445: 37-47. WoS FullText FullText_BOKU

** Senf, C; Muller, J; Seidl, R Post-disturbance recovery of forest cover and tree height differ with management in Central Europe.

LANDSCAPE ECOL. 2019; 34(12): 2837-2850. WoS FullText FullText_BOKU

** Wildemeersch, M; Franklin, O; Seidl, R; Rogelj, J; Moorthy, I; Thurner, S Modelling the multi-scaled nature of pest outbreaks.

ECOL MODEL. 2019; 409, 108745 WoS FullText FullText_BOKU

Albrich, K; Rammer, W; Seidl, R (2019): Topographic complexity increases the climate resilience of mountain forests.
[10th IALE World Congress, Milan, Italy, JUL 1-5, 2019]

In: International Association for Landscape Ecology, Book of Abstracts FullText

Sebald, J; Senf, C; Heiser, M; Scheidl, C; Pflugmacher, D; Seidl, R (2019): Are forested landscapes protecting against torrential hazards? Empirical large scale evidence from the Alps.
[International Association for Landscape Ecology - World congress, Milan, Italy, JUL 1-5; 2019]

In: IALE World Congress 2019, Nature and society facing the Anthropocene challanges and perspectives for landscape ecology - Book of Abstracts

Sebald, J; Senf, C; Scheidl, C; Heiser, M; Pflugmacher, D; Seidl, R (2019): Forest canopy disturbances increase the risk from torrential hazards in mountain regions. [Poster]
[EGU 2019 - European Geosciences Union, General Assembly 2019, Vienna, Austria, 07.04.2019 - 12.04.2019]

In: European Geoscience Union, Geophysical Research Abstracts

Seidl, R. (2019): Modeling natural disturbances.
[ISEM Global Conference 2019, Salzburg, Austria, OCT 1-5, 2019]

In: The International Society for Ecological Modeling, eco:model:spaces

Seidl, R. (2019): Forest resilience to climate change: An investigation across scales.
[10th IALE World Congress, Milan, Italy, JULY 1-5th 2019]

In: International Association for Landscape Ecology, Nature and society facing the Anthropocene: Challenges and perspectives for landscape ecology

Wohlgemuth, T., Jentsch, A., Seidl, R. (2019): Störungsökologie.

, 396; UTB, Bern; ISBN 978-3-8252-5018-8 FullText

** Albrich, K; Rammer, W; Thom, D; Seidl, R Trade-offs between temporal stability and level of forest ecosystem services provisioning under climate change.

ECOL APPL. 2018; 28(7): 1884-1896. WoS PubMed FullText FullText_BOKU

** Ammer, C; Fichtner, A; Fischer, A; Gossner, MM; Meyer, P; Seidl, R; Thomas, FM; Annighofer, P; Kreyling, J; Ohse, B; Berger, U; Feldmann, E; Haberle, KH; Heer, K; Heinrichs, S; Huth, F; Kramer-Klement, K; Molder, A; Muller, J; Mund, M; Opgenoorth, L; Schall, P; Scherer-Lorenzen, M; Seidel, D; Vogt, J; Wagner, S Key ecological research questions for Central European forests.

BASIC APPL ECOL. 2018; 32: 3-25. WoS FullText FullText_BOKU

** Braziunas, KH; Hansen, WD; Seidl, R; Rammer, W; Turner, MG Looking beyond the mean: Drivers of variability in postfire stand development of conifers in Greater Yellowstone.

FOREST ECOL MANAG. 2018; 430: 460-471. WoS FullText FullText_BOKU

** Dobor, L; Hlasny, T; Rammer, W; Barka, I; Trombik, J; Pavlenda, P; Seben, V; Stepanek, P; Seidl, R Post-disturbance recovery of forest carbon in a temperate forest landscape under climate change.

AGR FOREST METEOROL. 2018; 263: 308-322. WoS FullText FullText_BOKU

** Hansen, WD; Braziunas, KH; Rammer, W; Seidl, R; Turner, MG It takes a few to tango: changing climate and fire regimes can cause regeneration failure of two subalpine conifers.

ECOLOGY. 2018; 99(4): 966-977. WoS PubMed FullText FullText_BOKU

** Hilmers, T; Friess, N; Bassler, C; Heurich, M; Brandl, R; Pretzsch, H; Seidl, R; Muller, J Biodiversity along temperate forest succession.

J APPL ECOL. 2018; 55(6): 2756-2766. WoS FullText FullText_BOKU

** Kortmann, M; Heurich, M; Latifi, H; Rosner, S; Seidl, R; Muller, J; Thorn, S Forest structure following natural disturbances and early succession provides habitat for two avian flagship species, capercaillie (Tetrao urogallus) and hazel grouse (Tetrastes bonasia).

BIOL CONSERV. 2018; 226: 81-91. WoS FullText FullText_BOKU

** Landuyt, D; Perring, MP; Seidl, R; Taubert, F; Verbeeck, H; Verheyen, K Modelling understorey dynamics in temperate forests under global change-Challenges and perspectives.

PERSPECT PLANT ECOL. 2018; 31: 44-54. WoS PubMed PUBMED Central FullText FullText_BOKU

** Mori, AS; Isbell, F; Seidl, R beta-Diversity, Community Assembly, and Ecosystem Functioning.

TRENDS ECOL EVOL. 2018; 33(7): 549-564. WoS PubMed FullText FullText_BOKU

** Schurman, JS; Trotsiuk, V; Bace, R; Cada, V; Fraver, S; Janda, P; Kulakowski, D; Labusova, J; Mikolas, M; Nagel, TA; Seidl, R; Synek, M; Svobodova, K; Chaskovskyy, O; Teodosiu, M; Svoboda, M Large-scale disturbance legacies and the climate sensitivity of primary Picea abies forests.

GLOBAL CHANGE BIOL. 2018; 24(5): 2169-2181. WoS PubMed FullText FullText_BOKU

** Seidl, R; Albrich, K; Thom, D; Rammer, W Harnessing landscape heterogeneity for managing future disturbance risks in forest ecosystems.

J ENVIRON MANAGE. 2018; 209: 46-56. WoS PubMed FullText FullText_BOKU

** Seidl, R; Klonner, G; Rammer, W; Essl, F; Moreno, A; Neumann, M; Dullinger, S Invasive alien pests threaten the carbon stored in Europe's forests.

NAT COMMUN. 2018; 9: WoS PubMed FullText FullText_BOKU

Seidl, R., Rammer, W., Neumann, M., Moreno, A., Dullinger, S., Essl, F., Klonner, G. (2018): Risiko durch neuartige Schadorganismen.

Österreichische Forstzeitung, 06/18, 30-32; ISSN 1012-4667

** Senf, C; Pflugmacher, D; Yang, ZQ; Sebald, J; Knorn, J; Neumann, M; Hostert, P; Seidl, R Canopy mortality has doubled in Europe's temperate forests over the last three decades.

NAT COMMUN. 2018; 9: WoS PubMed FullText FullText_BOKU

** Senf, C; Seidl, R; Natural disturbances are spatially diverse but temporally synchronized across temperate forest landscapes in Europe..

Glob Chang Biol. 2018; 24(3):1201-1211 WoS PubMed FullText FullText_BOKU

** Sommerfeld, A; Senf, C; Buma, B; DxxxAmato, AW; Despres, T; Diaz-Hormazabal, I; Fraver, S; Frelich, LE; Gutierrez, AG; Hart, SJ; Harvey, BJ; He, HS; Hlasny, T; Holz, A; Kitzberger, T; Kulakowski, D; Lindenmayer, D; Mori, AS; Muller, J; Paritsis, J; Perry, GLW; Stephens, SL; Svoboda, M; Turner, MG; Veblen, TT; Seidl, R Patterns and drivers of recent disturbances across the temperate forest biome.

NAT COMMUN. 2018; 9: WoS PubMed FullText FullText_BOKU

** Thom, D; Rammer, W; Garstenauer, R; Seidl, R Legacies of past land use have a stronger effect on forest carbon exchange than future climate change in a temperate forest landscape.

BIOGEOSCIENCES. 2018; 15(18): 5699-5713. WoS FullText FullText_BOKU

** Thorn, S; Bassler, C; Brandl, R; Burton, PJ; Cahall, R; Campbell, JL; Castro, J; Choi, CY; Cobb, T; Donato, DC; Durska, E; Fontaine, JB; Gauthier, S; Hebert, C; Hothorn, T; Hutto, RL; Lee, EJ; Leverkus, AB; Lindenmayer, DB; Obrist, MK; Rost, J; Seibold, S; Seidl, R; Thom, D; Waldron, K; Wermelinger, B; Winter, MB; Zmihorski, M; Muller, J Impacts of salvage logging on biodiversity: A meta-analysis.

J APPL ECOL. 2018; 55(1): 279-289. WoS PubMed PUBMED Central FullText FullText_BOKU

Seidl, R. (2018): Forest disturbance in a changing world. Interim report..

Austrian Science Fund FWF, 37

Albrich, K; Rammer, W; Seidl, R (2018): Resilience of mountain forest ecosystems to climate change .
[Cool Forests at Risk? - The critical role of boreal and mountain ecosystems for people, bioeconomy, and climate (IBFRA18), Laxenburg, Austria, 17.09.2018 - 20.09.2018]

In: IASA, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Cool forests at risk? The Critical Role of Boreal and Mountain Ecosystems for People, Bioeconomy, and Climate FullText

Braziunas, K.H., Hansen, W.D., Seidl, R., Rammer, W., Turner, M.G. (2018): Looking beyond the mean: Drivers of variability in postfire stand development of Rocky Mountain conifers. [Poster]
[US-IALE: US Regional Association of the ?International Association for Landscape Ecology, Chicago, IL, USA, 08.04.2018 - 12.04.2018]

In: US Regional Association of the ​International Association for Landscape Ecology, US IALE 2018, Chicago, IL, USA

Dirnböck, T., Kobler, J., Garstenauer, R., Grote, R., Kiese, R., Kraus, D., Schindlbacher, A., Thom, D., Seidl, R. (2018): Does carbon sequestration matter for managers of protected areas?.
[48th Annual Conference of the Ecological Society of Germany, Austria and Switzerland (GfÖ) 2018, Vienna, Austria, 10.09.2018 - 14.09.2018]

In: Gesellschaft für Ökologie e.V. (GfÖ), Ecology - Meeting the scientific challenges of a complex world. 48th Annual Meeting of the Ecological Society of Germany, Austria and Switzerland, Vienna, Austria; ISBN: 0171-1113

Dirnböck, T., Kraus, D., Kobler, J., Thom, D., Seidl, R., Haas, E., Kiese, R. (2018): Post-disturbance ground vegetation effects on carbon sequestration in a temperate forest landscape.
[EGU 2018 - European Geosciences Union, General Assembly 2018, Vienna, Austria, 08.04.2018 - 13.04.2018]

In: European Geosciences Union, General Assembly 2018, Vienna, Austria

Dobor, L; Hlásny, T; Rammer, W; Barka, I; Zimová, S; Seidl, R (2018): What is the impact of salvage logging after disturbance on the landscape-scale forest carbon balance?.
[48th Annual Conference of the Ecological Society of Germany, Austria and Switzerland (GfÖ) 2018, Vienna, Austria, 10.09.2018 - 14.09.2018]

In: Gesellschaft für Ökologie e.V. (GfÖ), ECOLOGY – MEETING THE SCIENTIFIC CHALLENGES OF A COMPLEX WORLD; ISBN: ISSN 0171-1113

Rammer, W; Seidl, R (2018): Scaling vegetation dynamics: a novel approach for modeling vegetation transitions across large spatial scales based on deep learning.
[48th Annual Conference of the Ecological Society of Germany, Austria and Switzerland (GfÖ) 2018, Vienna, Austria, 10.09.2018 - 14.09.2018]

In: Gesellschaft für Ökologie e.V. (GfÖ), ECOLOGY – MEETING THE SCIENTIFIC CHALLENGES OF A COMPLEX WORLD; ISBN: ISSN 0171-1113

Seidl, R. (2018): Impacts of natural disturbances on forest carbon cycling and their implications for ecosystem management.
[48th Annual Conference of the Ecological Society of Germany, Austria and Switzerland (GfÖ) 2018, Vienna, Austria, 10.09.2018 - 14.09.2018]

In: Gesellschaft für Ökologie e.V. (GfÖ), Ecology - Meeting the scientific challenges of a complex world. 48th Annual Meeting of the Ecological Society of Germany, Austria and Switzerland, Vienna, Austria; ISBN: 0171-1113

Senf, C., Müller, J., Seidl, R. (2018): Landsat time series allow for the quantification of forest management and patch size effects on post-disturbance recovery trajectories. [Poster]
[EGU 2018 - European Geosciences Union, General Assembly 2018, Vienna, Austria, 08.04.2018 - 13.04.2018]

In: European Geosciences Union, General Assembly 2018, Vienna, Austria

Senf, C., Pflugmacher, D., Zhiqiang, Y., Sebald, S., Knorn, J., Hostert, P., Seidl, R. (2018): A first satellite-based estimation of recent (1984-2017) trends in forest disturbances for Central Europe.
[EGU 2018 - European Geosciences Union, General Assembly 2018, Vienna, Austria, 08.04.2018 - 13.04.2018]

In: European Geosciences Union, General Assembly 2018, Vienna, Austria

Senf, C., Seidl, R. (2018): Using long-term satellite records for monitoring forest health under climate change.
[48th Annual Conference of the Ecological Society of Germany, Austria and Switzerland (GfÖ) 2018, Vienna, Austria, 10.09.2018 - 14.09.2018]

In: Gesellschaft für Ökologie e.V. (GfÖ), Ecology - Meeting the scientific challenges of a complex world. 48th Annual Meeting of the Ecological Society of Germany, Austria and Switzerland, Vienna, Austria, Vienna, Austria; ISBN: 0171-1113

** Bebi, P; Seidl, R; Motta, R; Fuhr, M; Firm, D; Krumm, F; Conedera, M; Ginzler, C; Wohlgemuth, T; Kulakowski, D Changes of forest cover and disturbance regimes in the mountain forests of the Alps.

FOREST ECOL MANAG. 2017; 388: 43-56. WoS PubMed FullText FullText_BOKU

** Janda, P; Trotsiuk, V; Mikolas, M; Bace, R; Nagel, TA; Seidl, R; Seedre, M; Morrissey, RC; Kucbel, S; Jaloviar, P; Jasik, M; Vysoky, J; Samonil, P; Cada, V; Mrhalova, H; Labusova, J; Novakova, MH; Rydval, M; Mateju, L; Syoboda, M The historical disturbance regime of mountain Norway spruce forests in the Western Carpathians and its influence on current forest structure and composition.

FOREST ECOL MANAG. 2017; 388: 67-78. WoS PubMed FullText FullText_BOKU

** Kulakowski, D; Seidl, R; Holeksa, J; Kuuluvainen, T; Nagel, TA; Panayotov, M; Svoboda, M; Thorn, S; Vacchiano, G; Whitlock, C; Wohlgemuth, T; Bebi, P A walk on the wild side: Disturbance dynamics and the conservation and management of European mountain forest ecosystems.

FOREST ECOL MANAG. 2017; 388: 120-131. WoS PubMed FullText FullText_BOKU

** Neumann, M; Mues, V; Moreno, A; Hasenauer, H; Seidl, R; Climate variability drives recent tree mortality in Europe..

Glob Chang Biol. 2017; 23(11):4788-4797 WoS PubMed FullText FullText_BOKU

** Reyer, CPO; Bathgate, S; Blennow, K; Borges, JG; Bugmann, H; Delzon, S; Faias, SP; Garcia-Gonzalo, J; Gardiner, B; Gonzalez-Olabarria, JR; Gracia, C; Hernandez, JG; Kellomaki, S; Kramer, K; Lexer, MJ; Lindner, M; van der Maaten, E; Maroschek, M; Muys, B; Nicoll, B; Palahi, M; Palma, JHN; Paulo, JA; Peltola, H; Pukkala, T; Rammer, W; Ray, D; Sabate, S; Schelhaas, MJ; Seidl, R; Temperli, C; Tome, M; Yousefpour, R; Zimmermann, NE; Hanewinkel, M Are forest disturbances amplifying or canceling out climate change-induced productivity changes in European forests?.

ENVIRON RES LETT. 2017; 12(3): WoS PubMed FullText FullText_BOKU

** Seidl, R To Model or not to Model, That is no Longer the Question for Ecologists.

ECOSYSTEMS. 2017; 20(2): 222-228. WoS PubMed FullText FullText_BOKU

Seidl, R. (2017): Resilienz im Waldmanagement.

Österreichische Forstzeitung, 07/2017, 10-11; ISSN 1012-4667

** Seidl, R; Thom, D; Kautz, M; Martin-Benito, D; Peltoniemi, M; Vacchiano, G; Wild, J; Ascoli, D; Petr, M; Honkaniemi, J; Lexer, MJ; Trotsiuk, V; Mairota, P; Svoboda, M; Fabrika, M; Nagel, TA; Reyer, CPO Forest disturbances under climate change.

NAT CLIM CHANGE. 2017; 7(6): 395-402. WoS PubMed FullText FullText_BOKU

** Seidl, R; Vigl, F; Rossler, G; Neumann, M; Rammer, W Assessing the resilience of Norway spruce forests through a model-based reanalysis of thinning trials.

FOREST ECOL MANAG. 2017; 388: 3-12. WoS PubMed FullText FullText_BOKU

** Senf, C; Pflugmacher, D; Hostert, P; Seidl, R Using Landsat time series for characterizing forest disturbance dynamics in the coupled human and natural systems of Central Europe.

ISPRS J PHOTOGRAMM. 2017; 130: 453-463. WoS PubMed FullText FullText_BOKU

** Senf, C; Seidl, R; Hostert, P Remote sensing of forest insect disturbances: Current state and future directions.

INT J APPL EARTH OBS. 2017; 60: 49-60. WoS PubMed FullText FullText_BOKU

** Thom, D; Rammer, W; Seidl, R The impact of future forest dynamics on climate: interactive effects of changing vegetation and disturbance regimes.

ECOL MONOGR. 2017; 87(4): 665-684. WoS FullText FullText_BOKU

Albrich, K; Rammer, W; Thom, D; Seidl, R (2017): Providing multiple ecosystem services in the face of changing disturbance regimes.
[IUFRO 125th Anniversary Congress, Freiburg im Breisgau, Germany, 18.09.2017 - 22.09.2017]

In: International Union of Forest Research Organizations, IUFRO 125th Anniversary Congress

Braziunas, K.H., Hansen, W.D., Seidl, R., Rammer, W., Turner, M.G. (2017): Age alone is not enough: Multiple drivers control postfire stand development in Rocky Mountain conifers.
[Annual Meeting of the Ecological Society of America, Portland, OR, USA, AUG. 6-11, 2017]

In: Ecological Society of America, Annual Meeting

Dullinger, S., Essl, F., Klonner, G., Rammer, W., Seidl R. (2017): Interactive effects of climate warming and invasive pests on European forest carbon storage.
[IUFRO - 125th Anniversary congress 2017, Freiburg, Germany, 18.09.2017 - 22.09.2017]

In: International Union of Forest Research Organizations, IUFRO 125th Anniversary Congress

Hansen, W.D., Braziunas, K.H., Seidl, R., Rammer, W., Turner, M.G.. (2017): A perfect storm: Multiple stressors interact to drive postfire regeneration failure of lodgepole pine and Douglas-fir forests in Yellowstone.
[Annual Meeting of the Ecological Society of America, Portland, OR, USA, AUG. 6-11, 2017]

In: Ecological Society of America, Annual Meeting

Seidl, R. (2017): Frontiers in forest disturbance research.
[IUFRO - 125th Anniversary congress 2017, Freiburg, Germany, 18.09.2017 - 22.09.2017]

In: International Union of Forest Research Organizations, IUFRO 125th Anniversary Congress

Seidl, R., Klonner, G., Rammer, W., Essl, F., Moreno, A., Neumann, M., Dullinger, S. (2017): The potential impact of invasive pests on carbon storage in Europe’s forests .
[10th Annual Meeting of the Specialist Group on Macroecology of the Ecological Society of Germany, Austria & Switzerland (GfÖ) 2017, Vienna, Austria, 19.04.2017 - 21.04.2017]

In: Dullinger, S., Essl, F., Hülber, K., Lenzner, B., Macroecology in space and time, Department of Botany and Biodiversity, Division of Conservation Biology, Vegetation and Landscape Ecology, University of Vienna

Seidl, R., Thom, D., Kautz, M., Martin-Benito, D., Peltoniemi, M., Vacchiano, G., Wild, J., Ascoli, D., Petr, M., Honkaniemi, J., Lexer, M., Trotsiuk, V., Mairota, P., Svoboda, M., Fabrika, M., Nagel, T., Reyer, C.P.O. (2017): Modeling changing forest disturbance regimes.
[IUFRO - 125th Anniversary congress 2017, Freiburg, Germany, 18.09.2017 - 22.09.2017]

In: International Union of Forest Research Organizations, IUFRO 125th Anniversary Congress

Seidl, R., Thom, D., Kautz, M., Martin-Benito, D., Peltoniemi, M., Vacchiano, G., Wild, J., Ascoli, D., Petr, M., Honkaniemi, J., Lexer, M.J., Trotsiuk, V., Mairota, P., Svoboda, M., Fabrika, M., Nagel, T.A., Reyer, C.P.O. (2017): Understanding and modeling forest disturbances under climate change.
[Robust projections of forests under climate change - data, methods and models. COST Action FP1304 PROFOUND – Final Event, Potsdam, Germany, 10.10.2017 - 11.10.2017]

In: Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Robust projections of forests under climate change - data, methods and models. COST Action FP1304 PROFOUND – Final Event

Senf, C., Seidl, R. (2017): Multi-scale drivers of forest disturbances across European temperate forests.
[IUFRO - 125th Anniversary congress 2017, Freiburg, Germany, 18.09.2017 - 22.09.2017]

In: International Union of Forest Research Organizations, IUFRO 125th Anniversary Congress

Senf, C., Seidl, R. (2017): Similarities and differences in forest disturbance patterns across the European temperate forest biome. [Poster]
[2nd International Conference on Forests, Bavarian Forest National Park, Neuschönau, Germany, 26.04.2017 - 29.04.2017]

In: Bavarian Forest National Park, 2nd International Conference on Forests

Senf, C., Seidl, R. (2017): Similarities and differences in forest disturbance dynamics across the European temperate forest biome.
[10th Annual Meeting of the Specialist Group on Macroecology of the Ecological Society of Germany, Austria & Switzerland (GfÖ) 2017, Vienna, Austria, 19.04.2017 - 21.04.2017]

In: Dullinger, S., Essl, F., Hülber, K., Lenzner, B., Macroecology in space and time, Department of Botany and Biodiversity, Division of Conservation Biology, Vegetation and Landscape Ecology, University of Vienna

** Seidl, R; Donato, DC; Raffa, KF; Turner, MG; Spatial variability in tree regeneration after wildfire delays and dampens future bark beetle outbreaks..

Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2016; 113(46):13075-13080 WoS PubMed PUBMED Central FullText FullText_BOKU

Rammer, W; Seidl, R (2016): A simulation platform to assess forest landscape resilience.
[8th International Congress on Environmental Modelling and Software, Toulouse, France, JUL, 10-14, 2016]

In: Sauvage, S., Sánchez-Pérez, J.M., Rizzoli, A.E. (Eds.), Proceedings of the 8th International Congress on Environmental Modelling and Software, July 10-14, Toulouse,FRANCE; ISBN: 978-88-9035-745-9

Seidl, R. (2016): Changing climate and disturbance regimes in Europe's forests: impacts and resilience.
[Forest Management for Enhancing Resilience to Climate Change, Seoul, South Korea, June 20-21, 2016]

In: Korean National Institute of Forest Science, 2016 International Climate Change Adaptation Symposium. Forest Management for Enhancing Resilience to Climate Change

Vorträge

Albrich, K., Rammer, W., Turner, M.G., Hansen, W., Ratajzak, Z., Braziunas, K., Seidl, R. (2019): Simulating forest resilience – a review .

Symposium„Perspectives of forest modeling“, APR 3, 2019, Leipzig

Rammer, W; Seidl, R (2019): Scaling Vegetation Dynamics - A novel deep learning based approach for modelling vegetation transitions across large spatial scales.

Symposium "Perspectives of forest modelling", APR 3-5, 2019, Leipzig

Sebald, J (2019): Forest management for climate robust mountain landscapes.

Seminar on Silviculture, Ecosystem Dynamics and Forest Management, DEC 5, 2019, Freising, GERMANY

Sebald, J; Rammer, W; Seidl, R (2019): P.E.T.S. - The Permanent Evaluation and Test Suite for iLand.

Forest Modeling Symposium , APR 3, 2019, Leipzig, GERMANY

Sebald, J; Senf, C; Seidl, R (2019): Mapping forest disturbances to quantify effects of forest cover and disturbance on natural hazard probability in the Eastern Alps .

Seminar on forest disturbances, OCT 21, 2019, Helsinki, FINLAND

Seidl, R. (2019): Resilienz in der Waldbewirtschaftung in einer Welt im Wandel.

Niederösterreichischer Förstertag, MAR 22, 2019, Lilienfeld

Seidl, R. (2019): Risikomanagement auf der Landschaftsebene.

9. Risikoworkshop, JUNE 25-26, 2019, Lohr am Main

Seidl, R. (2019): Klimawandel und Störungen in Österreichs Wäldern .

Der Wald in Not. Ist Vielfalt im Wald die Antwort auf den Klimawandel?, MAY 18, 2019, Hardegg

Seidl, R. (2019): Climate Change and Forest Disturbances in Europe.

ThinkForest: How to Respond to Forest Disturbances in Europe, APR 4, 2019, Prag

Seidl, R. (2019): Quo vadis forest modeling.

Perspectives of forest modeling, APR 3, 2019, Leipzig

Seidl, R. (2019): Waldbau im Klimawandel: Was erwartet uns, was können wir tun?.

Wald:Werkstatt 2019. Workshop des Landesforstdienstes , FEB 28, 2019, St. Gilgen

Seidl, R., Senf, C. (2019): Störungen in Mitteleuropas Wäldern haben sich in den letzten drei Jahrzehnten verdoppelt.

20. Österreichische Klimatag, APR 24-26, Wien

Seidl, R. (2018): Dead trees, live forests.

Science Day Special: Multidisciplinary perspectives on death, NOV 23, 2018, Wien

Seidl, R. (2018): Forest disturbances in a changing world .

Science Days 2018. Austrian Academy of Sciences, March 1-2, 2018, Vienna, Austria

Seidl, R. (2017): Zurück in die Zukunft des Waldes der Kalkalpen .

Luft, Wald, Boden, Wasser: 25 Jahre Umweltbeobachtung am Zöbelboden, NOV 6, 2017, Reichraming

Seidl, R. (2017): Diversität und Resilienz im Waldmanagement.

Österreichische Forsttagung 2017, June 01-02, 2017, Wien

Seidl, R. (2017): Die Auswirkungen von geänderten Klima- und Störungsregimes auf den Schutzwald .

Ländliche Neuordnung: Rolle der agrartechnischen Fachbereiche im Naturgefahrenmanagement, OCT 19-20, 2017, Innsbruck

Seidl, R (2016): Österreichs Wald im Klimawandel: Klimaopfer oder Klimaretter?.

Science VHS Wien, 06. Oct. 2016, Wien

Seidl, R. (2016): Changing disturbance regimes: Challenges and opportunities for forest management.

The challenge of global change: disturbance and risk in forest ecosystem management, Oct. 27-29, 2016, Narva, Estonia

Seidl, R. (2016): The paradox of forest disturbance.

ART & SCIENCE, University of Applied Arts Vienna, NOV 22, 2016, Wien

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