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Demographic change and hydrological hazards: flood risk management in Alpine areas facing population decline and demographic ageing

Projektleitung
Thaler Thomas, Projektleiter/in
Laufzeit:
01.12.2017-31.03.2021
Programm:
Earth System Sciences (ESS)
Art der Forschung
Grundlagenforschung
Mitarbeiter*innen
Clar Christoph, Projektmitarbeiter/in
Beteiligte BOKU-Organisationseinheiten
Institut für Alpine Naturgefahren
Institut für Raumplanung, Umweltplanung und Bodenordnung (IRUB)
Institut für Wald-, Umwelt- und Ressourcenpolitik
assoziertes Teilprojekt:
Demographic change and hydrological hazards: flood risk management in Alpine areas facing population decline and demographic ageing (Teilprojekt Raumplanung) (DemoHazAlps_RP)
Gefördert durch
Österreichische Akademie der Wissenschaften (ÖAW), Dr. Ignaz- Seipel Platz, 1010 Wien, Österreich
Abstract
The project DemoHazAlps addresses the issue of demographic change and flood risk in Alpine areas. It aims to develop a better understanding of demographic change as a key driver transforming the patterns of risks and to provide a scientific basis for the development of risk management and adaptation strategies for Alpine areas facing population decline and demographic ageing.
DemoHazAlps will address these objectives from an interdisciplinary perspective (of hazard and risk management, political science, and spatial planning) and draws on a broad methodological repertoire, integrating social science research methods with spatial analysis techniques.
The project builds on the disaster risk community’s conceptual framing of risk and investigates the influence of demographic change on flood hazard exposure, vulnerability, and the capacity to cope with and adapt to extreme events. Research will begin by developing an analytical framework of demographic change and natural risk management. Through a macro-scale analysis of the dynamics of flood risk and population change in Austria, two Alpine municipalities will be selected for the empirical case study research.
In the case studies, the exposure of buildings and residents will be assessed and mapped for different temporal scales on the basis of GIS-analysis, document analysis and semi-structured interviews. To assess the influence of demographic change on social and physical vulnerability the research team will conduct a GIS-based analysis of exposed buildings and a large-scale postal survey among flood-prone households. The capacity to cope with and adapt to extreme events under conditions of demographic change will be investigated through the analysis of legal and political documents and semi-structured interviews with policy-makers and stakeholders. Both case studies will be concluded with stakeholder workshops in order to inform the development of adaptation options for responding to the challenge of demographic change in natural hazards management.
Schlagworte
Demographie; Allgemeine Staatslehre; Vergleichende Politikwissenschaft; Bevölkerungsgeographie; Örtliche Raumplanung; Raumordnung; Sozialgeographie;
Demographie; Örtliche Raumplanung; Risikomanagement; Vulnerabilität;
Publikationen

Löschner, L; Clar, C; Fischer, T; Nordbeck, R; Thaler, T (2018): Demographic Change and Natural Hazard Risk Management ─ a Disregarded Link? An Overview of Policy Perspectives from Austria.
[International Conference on "Natural Hazards and Risks in a Changing World“, Potsdam, Germany, 04.10.2018 - 05.10.2018]

In: Theresia Petrow, Axel Bronstert, Annegret Thieken and Kristin Vogel (Eds.), International Conference on "Natural Hazards and Risks in a Changing World". Book of Abstracts, Universität Potsdam FullText

Vorträge

Clar, C; Fischer, T; Fuchs, S; Hübl, J; Löschner, L; Nordbeck, R; Papathoma-Köhle, M; Thaler, T (2019): Demographic change and hydro-metrological hazards: natural hazard risk management in Alpine areas facing population decline and demographic ageing.

International Mountain Conference, SEP 8-12, 2019, Innsbruck

Thaler, T; Clar, C; Fischer, T; Löschner, L; Nordbeck, R (2018): Demographischer Wandel und Naturgefahrenmanagement: Auswirkungen von Bevölkerungsrückgang und demographischer Alterung auf das Hochwasserrisikomanagement in alpinen Gemeinden.

research salon, NOV 26, 2018, Wien

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