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Forest disturbance in a changing world

Project Leader
Seidl Rupert, Project Leader
Duration:
01.03.2016-28.02.2022
Programme:
START-Programm
Type of Research
Basic Research
Project partners
Bavarian Forest National Park, Germany.
Function of the Project Partner: Partner
Czech University of Life Sciences Prague, 165 21 Prague 6 – Suchdol, Czech Republic.
Function of the Project Partner: Partner
European Forest Institute, European Union.
Function of the Project Partner: Partner
Forest Research Institute Zvolen, Slovakia.
Function of the Project Partner: Partner
Staff
Rammer Werner, Project Staff (bis 30.01.2022)
Albrich Katharina, Project Staff (bis 30.04.2022)
Krismer Hanna, Project Staff (bis 31.12.2016)
Sommerfeld Andreas, Project Staff (bis 31.12.2019)
BOKU Research Units
Institute of Silviculture
Funded by
Fonds zur Förderung der wissenschaftlichen Forschung (FWF) , Sensengasse 1, 1090 Wien, Austria
Abstract
Anthropogenic climate change has profound impacts on ecological processes and is rapidly changing the composition, structure, and functioning of ecosystems. For long-lived ecosystems such as forests the unprecedented pace of these changes will strongly limit the ability for adaptation through genetic and evolutionary processes. As systems are increasingly ill-adapted to their environment, abrupt and disruptive changes are getting increasingly likely. Over the past decades, disturbance events such as windthrow, bark beetle outbreaks, and wildfires have already increased markedly in forests around the globe. Yet, our understanding of the long-term changes in forest disturbance regimes and their impacts is still limited, hampering our ability to address these changes in ecosystem management. Using an innovative multi-method approach the project will (i) improve our systems understanding of the drivers of forest disturbance regimes, (ii) lead to a comprehensive appraisal of the impacts of current and future disturbance regimes on biological diversity and ecosystem services, and, based on these insights, (iii) develop strategies on how ecosystem management and society at large can cope with changing forest disturbance regimes. To address these questions we will study landscapes in Central Europe, contrasting unmanaged forests (e.g., national parks) with managed forest landscapes in similar biogeographical settings. For this network of study landscapes we will use tree ring analysis to reconstruct the disturbance regimes of past centuries, apply remote sensing to estimate current disturbance severity and extent, and harness simulation modeling to project future trajectories under an ensemble of climate change scenarios. Based on this multi-century analysis we will for the first time in Europe be able to determine whether and how current and future disturbance regimes transgress the historical range of variability, and whether no-analog disturbance regimes are likely to emerge in the future. We will furthermore assess how changing disturbance regimes will affect biodiversity, and quantify their impacts on provisioning (e.g., timber production), regulating (e.g., carbon storage, water retention), cultural (e.g., the recreational value of a landscape), and supporting (e.g., primary productivity) services of forest ecosystems. Using simulation modeling embedded in a stakeholder process we will develop strategies of how to deal with such disturbance impacts, and how to optimally manage landscapes under different management objectives (conservation of biological diversity, provisioning of different ecosystem services). Novel simulation approaches will furthermore be used to scale results up to the regional scale, and provide policy makers and disaster risk managers with detailed information on future forest-related risks. The project will thus not only strongly advance the frontiers in disturbance ecology both with regard to process understanding and science-based ecosystem management, but will also deliver novel solutions for mitigating risks and fostering resilience to abrupt and disruptive changes in the environment in general.
Keywords
Computer simulation; Climate change; Ecosystem research; Silviculture; Forest ecology;
climate change impacts; ecological modeling; risk and resilience; disturbance ecology; forest ecosystem management;
Publications

** Dirnb?ck, T; Kraus, D; Grote, R; Klatt, S; Kobler, J; Schindlbacher, A; Seidl, R; Thom, D; Kiese, R Substantial understory contribution to the C sink of a European temperate mountain forest landscape.

LANDSCAPE ECOL. 2020; 35(2): 483-499. WoS PubMed FullText FullText_BOKU

** Dobor, L; Hlásny, T; Rammer, W; Zimová, S; Barka, I; Seidl, R; Spatial configuration matters when removing windfelled trees to manage bark beetle disturbances in Central European forest landscapes..

J Environ Manage. 2020; 254:109792 WoS PubMed FullText FullText_BOKU

** Hansen, WD; Abendroth, D; Rammer, W; Seidl, R; Turner, MG; Can wildland fire management alter 21st-century subalpine fire and forests in Grand Teton National Park, Wyoming, USA?.

Ecol Appl. 2020; 30(2):e02030 WoS PubMed FullText FullText_BOKU

** Honkaniemi, J; Rammer, W; Seidl, R Norway spruce at the trailing edge: the effect of landscape configuration and composition on climate resilience.

LANDSCAPE ECOL. 2020; 35(3): 591-606. WoS PubMed FullText FullText_BOKU

** Huang, JB; Kautz, M; Trowbridge, AM; Hammerbacher, A; Raffa, KF; Adams, HD; Goodsman, DW; Xu, CG; Meddens, AJH; Kandasamy, D; Gershenzon, J; Seidl, R; Hartmann, H Tree defence and bark beetles in a drying world: carbon partitioning, functioning and modelling.

NEW PHYTOL. 2020; 225(1): 26-36. WoS PubMed FullText FullText_BOKU

Sebald, J; Senf C; Seidl R (2020): Einfluss von Störungen auf Wildbachereignisse.

Österreichische Forstzeitung, 05-2020, 10-12; ISSN 1012-4667

Sebald, J; Rammer, W; Seidl, R (2020): The role of alpha and beta diversity in buffering the effects of intensifying disturbance regimes under climate change.
[Managing forests in the 21st century, Potsdam, Germany, 03.03.2020 - 05.03.2020]

Hlásny, T., Krokene, P., Liebhold, A., Montagné-Huck, C., Müller, J., Qin, H., Raffa, K., Schelhaas, M.J., Seidl, R., Svoboda, M., Viiri, H. (2019): Living with bark beetles: impacts, outlook and management options.

From Science to Policy 8, 50, European Forest Institute, Joensuu, Finland; ISBN: 978-952-5980-75-2 FullText

** Bugmann, H; Seidl, R; Hartig, F; Bohn, F; Bruna, J; Cailleret, M; Francois, L; Heinke, J; Henrot, AJ; Hickler, T; Hulsmann, L; Huth, A; Jacquemin, I; Kollas, C; Lasch-Born, P; Lexer, MJ; Merganic, J; Merganicova, K; Mette, T; Miranda, BR; Nadal-Sala, D; Rammer, W; Rammig, A; Reineking, B; Roedig, E; Sabate, S; Steinkamp, J; Suckow, F; Vacchiano, G; Wild, J; Xu, CG; Reyer, CPO Tree mortality submodels drive simulated long-term forest dynamics: assessing 15 models from the stand to global scale.

ECOSPHERE. 2019; 10(2), e02616 WoS FullText FullText_BOKU

** Rammer, W; Seidl, R A scalable model of vegetation transitions using deep neural networks.

METHODS ECOL EVOL. 2019; 10(6): 879-890. WoS PubMed PUBMED Central FullText FullText_BOKU

** Rammer, W; Seidl, R Harnessing Deep Learning in Ecology: An Example Predicting Bark Beetle Outbreaks.

FRONT PLANT SCI. 2019; 10, 1327 WoS PubMed FullText FullText_BOKU

** Sebald, J; Senf, C; Heiser, M; Scheidl, C; Pflugmacher, D; Seidl, R The effects of forest cover and disturbance on torrential hazards: large-scale evidence from the Eastern Alps.

ENVIRON RES LETT. 2019; 14(11), 114032 WoS FullText FullText_BOKU

** Seidl, R; Albrich, K; Erb, K; Formayer, H; Leidinger, D; Leitinger, G; Tappeiner, U; Tasser, E; Rammer, W What drives the future supply of regulating ecosystem services in a mountain forest landscape?.

FOREST ECOL MANAG. 2019; 445: 37-47. WoS FullText FullText_BOKU

** Senf, C; Muller, J; Seidl, R Post-disturbance recovery of forest cover and tree height differ with management in Central Europe.

LANDSCAPE ECOL. 2019; 34(12): 2837-2850. WoS FullText FullText_BOKU

** Wildemeersch, M; Franklin, O; Seidl, R; Rogelj, J; Moorthy, I; Thurner, S Modelling the multi-scaled nature of pest outbreaks.

ECOL MODEL. 2019; 409, 108745 WoS FullText FullText_BOKU

Albrich, K; Rammer, W; Seidl, R (2019): Topographic complexity increases the climate resilience of mountain forests.
[10th IALE World Congress 2019, Milan, Italy, 01.07.2019 - 05.07.2019]

In: International Association for Landscape Ecology, Book of Abstracts FullText

Sebald, J; Senf, C; Heiser, M; Scheidl, C; Pflugmacher, D; Seidl, R (2019): Are forested landscapes protecting against torrential hazards? Empirical large scale evidence from the Alps.
[International Association for Landscape Ecology - World congress, Milan, Italy, 01.07.2019 - 05.07.2019]

In: IALE World Congress 2019, Nature and society facing the Anthropocene challanges and perspectives for landscape ecology - Book of Abstracts

Sebald, J; Senf, C; Scheidl, C; Heiser, M; Pflugmacher, D; Seidl, R (2019): Forest canopy disturbances increase the risk from torrential hazards in mountain regions. [Poster]
[European Geoscience Union EGU General Assembly 2019, Vienna, Austria, 07.04.2019 - 12.04.2019]

In: European Geoscience Union, Geophysical Research Abstracts

Seidl, R. (2019): Modeling natural disturbances.
[ISEM Global Conference 2019, Salzburg, Austria, 01.10.2019 - 05.10.2019]

In: The International Society for Ecological Modeling, eco:model:spaces

Seidl, R. (2019): Forest resilience to climate change: An investigation across scales.
[10th IALE World Congress 2019, Milan, Italy, 01.07.2019 - 05.07.2019]

In: International Association for Landscape Ecology, Nature and society facing the Anthropocene: Challenges and perspectives for landscape ecology

Wohlgemuth, T., Jentsch, A., Seidl, R. (2019): Störungsökologie.

, 396; UTB, Bern; ISBN 978-3-8252-5018-8 FullText

** Albrich, K; Rammer, W; Thom, D; Seidl, R Trade-offs between temporal stability and level of forest ecosystem services provisioning under climate change.

ECOL APPL. 2018; 28(7): 1884-1896. WoS PubMed FullText FullText_BOKU

** Ammer, C; Fichtner, A; Fischer, A; Gossner, MM; Meyer, P; Seidl, R; Thomas, FM; Annighofer, P; Kreyling, J; Ohse, B; Berger, U; Feldmann, E; Haberle, KH; Heer, K; Heinrichs, S; Huth, F; Kramer-Klement, K; Molder, A; Muller, J; Mund, M; Opgenoorth, L; Schall, P; Scherer-Lorenzen, M; Seidel, D; Vogt, J; Wagner, S Key ecological research questions for Central European forests.

BASIC APPL ECOL. 2018; 32: 3-25. WoS FullText FullText_BOKU

** Braziunas, KH; Hansen, WD; Seidl, R; Rammer, W; Turner, MG Looking beyond the mean: Drivers of variability in postfire stand development of conifers in Greater Yellowstone.

FOREST ECOL MANAG. 2018; 430: 460-471. WoS FullText FullText_BOKU

** Dobor, L; Hlasny, T; Rammer, W; Barka, I; Trombik, J; Pavlenda, P; Seben, V; Stepanek, P; Seidl, R Post-disturbance recovery of forest carbon in a temperate forest landscape under climate change.

AGR FOREST METEOROL. 2018; 263: 308-322. WoS FullText FullText_BOKU

** Hansen, WD; Braziunas, KH; Rammer, W; Seidl, R; Turner, MG It takes a few to tango: changing climate and fire regimes can cause regeneration failure of two subalpine conifers.

ECOLOGY. 2018; 99(4): 966-977. WoS PubMed FullText FullText_BOKU

** Hilmers, T; Friess, N; Bassler, C; Heurich, M; Brandl, R; Pretzsch, H; Seidl, R; Muller, J Biodiversity along temperate forest succession.

J APPL ECOL. 2018; 55(6): 2756-2766. WoS FullText FullText_BOKU

** Kortmann, M; Heurich, M; Latifi, H; Rosner, S; Seidl, R; Muller, J; Thorn, S Forest structure following natural disturbances and early succession provides habitat for two avian flagship species, capercaillie (Tetrao urogallus) and hazel grouse (Tetrastes bonasia).

BIOL CONSERV. 2018; 226: 81-91. WoS FullText FullText_BOKU

** Landuyt, D; Perring, MP; Seidl, R; Taubert, F; Verbeeck, H; Verheyen, K Modelling understorey dynamics in temperate forests under global change-Challenges and perspectives.

PERSPECT PLANT ECOL. 2018; 31: 44-54. WoS PubMed PUBMED Central FullText FullText_BOKU

** Mori, AS; Isbell, F; Seidl, R beta-Diversity, Community Assembly, and Ecosystem Functioning.

TRENDS ECOL EVOL. 2018; 33(7): 549-564. WoS PubMed FullText FullText_BOKU

** Schurman, JS; Trotsiuk, V; Bace, R; Cada, V; Fraver, S; Janda, P; Kulakowski, D; Labusova, J; Mikolas, M; Nagel, TA; Seidl, R; Synek, M; Svobodova, K; Chaskovskyy, O; Teodosiu, M; Svoboda, M Large-scale disturbance legacies and the climate sensitivity of primary Picea abies forests.

GLOBAL CHANGE BIOL. 2018; 24(5): 2169-2181. WoS PubMed FullText FullText_BOKU

** Seidl, R; Albrich, K; Thom, D; Rammer, W Harnessing landscape heterogeneity for managing future disturbance risks in forest ecosystems.

J ENVIRON MANAGE. 2018; 209: 46-56. WoS PubMed FullText FullText_BOKU

** Seidl, R; Klonner, G; Rammer, W; Essl, F; Moreno, A; Neumann, M; Dullinger, S Invasive alien pests threaten the carbon stored in Europe's forests.

NAT COMMUN. 2018; 9: WoS PubMed FullText FullText_BOKU

Seidl, R., Rammer, W., Neumann, M., Moreno, A., Dullinger, S., Essl, F., Klonner, G. (2018): Risiko durch neuartige Schadorganismen.

Österreichische Forstzeitung, 06/18, 30-32; ISSN 1012-4667

** Senf, C; Pflugmacher, D; Yang, ZQ; Sebald, J; Knorn, J; Neumann, M; Hostert, P; Seidl, R Canopy mortality has doubled in Europe's temperate forests over the last three decades.

NAT COMMUN. 2018; 9: WoS PubMed FullText FullText_BOKU

** Senf, C; Seidl, R; Natural disturbances are spatially diverse but temporally synchronized across temperate forest landscapes in Europe..

Glob Chang Biol. 2018; 24(3):1201-1211 WoS PubMed FullText FullText_BOKU

** Sommerfeld, A; Senf, C; Buma, B; DxxxAmato, AW; Despres, T; Diaz-Hormazabal, I; Fraver, S; Frelich, LE; Gutierrez, AG; Hart, SJ; Harvey, BJ; He, HS; Hlasny, T; Holz, A; Kitzberger, T; Kulakowski, D; Lindenmayer, D; Mori, AS; Muller, J; Paritsis, J; Perry, GLW; Stephens, SL; Svoboda, M; Turner, MG; Veblen, TT; Seidl, R Patterns and drivers of recent disturbances across the temperate forest biome.

NAT COMMUN. 2018; 9: WoS PubMed FullText FullText_BOKU

** Thom, D; Rammer, W; Garstenauer, R; Seidl, R Legacies of past land use have a stronger effect on forest carbon exchange than future climate change in a temperate forest landscape.

BIOGEOSCIENCES. 2018; 15(18): 5699-5713. WoS FullText FullText_BOKU

** Thorn, S; Bassler, C; Brandl, R; Burton, PJ; Cahall, R; Campbell, JL; Castro, J; Choi, CY; Cobb, T; Donato, DC; Durska, E; Fontaine, JB; Gauthier, S; Hebert, C; Hothorn, T; Hutto, RL; Lee, EJ; Leverkus, AB; Lindenmayer, DB; Obrist, MK; Rost, J; Seibold, S; Seidl, R; Thom, D; Waldron, K; Wermelinger, B; Winter, MB; Zmihorski, M; Muller, J Impacts of salvage logging on biodiversity: A meta-analysis.

J APPL ECOL. 2018; 55(1): 279-289. WoS PubMed PUBMED Central FullText FullText_BOKU

Seidl, R. (2018): Forest disturbance in a changing world. Interim report..

Austrian Science Fund FWF, 37

Albrich, K; Rammer, W; Seidl, R (2018): Resilience of mountain forest ecosystems to climate change .
[18th The International Boreal Forest Research Association IBFRA Conference 2018 - - Cool Forests at Risk? The critical role of boreal and mountain ecosystems for people, bioeconomy, and climate, Laxenburg, Austria, 17.09.2018 - 20.09.2018]

In: IASA, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Cool forests at risk? The Critical Role of Boreal and Mountain Ecosystems for People, Bioeconomy, and Climate FullText

Braziunas, K.H., Hansen, W.D., Seidl, R., Rammer, W., Turner, M.G. (2018): Looking beyond the mean: Drivers of variability in postfire stand development of Rocky Mountain conifers. [Poster]
[US-IALE: US Regional Association of the ?International Association for Landscape Ecology, Chicago, IL, USA, 08.04.2018 - 12.04.2018]

In: US Regional Association of the ​International Association for Landscape Ecology, US IALE 2018, Chicago, IL, USA

Dirnböck, T., Kobler, J., Garstenauer, R., Grote, R., Kiese, R., Kraus, D., Schindlbacher, A., Thom, D., Seidl, R. (2018): Does carbon sequestration matter for managers of protected areas?.
[48th Annual Meeting of the Ecological Society of Germany, Austria and Switzerland GfÖ 2018 - Ecology – Meeting the Scientific Challenges of a complex World, Vienna, Austria, 10.09.2018 - 14.09.2018]

In: Gesellschaft für Ökologie e.V. (GfÖ), Ecology - Meeting the scientific challenges of a complex world. 48th Annual Meeting of the Ecological Society of Germany, Austria and Switzerland, Vienna, Austria; ISBN: 0171-1113

Dirnböck, T., Kraus, D., Kobler, J., Thom, D., Seidl, R., Haas, E., Kiese, R. (2018): Post-disturbance ground vegetation effects on carbon sequestration in a temperate forest landscape.
[European Geosciences Union EGU General Assembly 2018, Vienna, Austria, 08.04.2018 - 13.04.2018]

In: European Geosciences Union, General Assembly 2018, Vienna, Austria

Dobor, L; Hlásny, T; Rammer, W; Barka, I; Zimová, S; Seidl, R (2018): What is the impact of salvage logging after disturbance on the landscape-scale forest carbon balance?.
[48th Annual Meeting of the Ecological Society of Germany, Austria and Switzerland GfÖ 2018 - Ecology – Meeting the Scientific Challenges of a complex World, Vienna, Austria, 10.09.2018 - 14.09.2018]

In: Gesellschaft für Ökologie e.V. (GfÖ), ECOLOGY – MEETING THE SCIENTIFIC CHALLENGES OF A COMPLEX WORLD; ISBN: ISSN 0171-1113

Rammer, W; Seidl, R (2018): Scaling vegetation dynamics: a novel approach for modeling vegetation transitions across large spatial scales based on deep learning.
[48th Annual Meeting of the Ecological Society of Germany, Austria and Switzerland GfÖ 2018 - Ecology – Meeting the Scientific Challenges of a complex World, Vienna, Austria, 10.09.2018 - 14.09.2018]

In: Gesellschaft für Ökologie e.V. (GfÖ), ECOLOGY – MEETING THE SCIENTIFIC CHALLENGES OF A COMPLEX WORLD; ISBN: ISSN 0171-1113

Seidl, R. (2018): Impacts of natural disturbances on forest carbon cycling and their implications for ecosystem management.
[48th Annual Meeting of the Ecological Society of Germany, Austria and Switzerland GfÖ 2018 - Ecology – Meeting the Scientific Challenges of a complex World, Vienna, Austria, 10.09.2018 - 14.09.2018]

In: Gesellschaft für Ökologie e.V. (GfÖ), Ecology - Meeting the scientific challenges of a complex world. 48th Annual Meeting of the Ecological Society of Germany, Austria and Switzerland, Vienna, Austria; ISBN: 0171-1113

Senf, C., Müller, J., Seidl, R. (2018): Landsat time series allow for the quantification of forest management and patch size effects on post-disturbance recovery trajectories. [Poster]
[European Geosciences Union EGU General Assembly 2018, Vienna, Austria, 08.04.2018 - 13.04.2018]

In: European Geosciences Union, General Assembly 2018, Vienna, Austria

Senf, C., Pflugmacher, D., Zhiqiang, Y., Sebald, S., Knorn, J., Hostert, P., Seidl, R. (2018): A first satellite-based estimation of recent (1984-2017) trends in forest disturbances for Central Europe.
[European Geosciences Union EGU General Assembly 2018, Vienna, Austria, 08.04.2018 - 13.04.2018]

In: European Geosciences Union, General Assembly 2018, Vienna, Austria

Senf, C., Seidl, R. (2018): Using long-term satellite records for monitoring forest health under climate change.
[48th Annual Meeting of the Ecological Society of Germany, Austria and Switzerland GfÖ 2018 - Ecology – Meeting the Scientific Challenges of a complex World, Vienna, Austria, 10.09.2018 - 14.09.2018]

In: Gesellschaft für Ökologie e.V. (GfÖ), Ecology - Meeting the scientific challenges of a complex world. 48th Annual Meeting of the Ecological Society of Germany, Austria and Switzerland, Vienna, Austria, Vienna, Austria; ISBN: 0171-1113

** Bebi, P; Seidl, R; Motta, R; Fuhr, M; Firm, D; Krumm, F; Conedera, M; Ginzler, C; Wohlgemuth, T; Kulakowski, D Changes of forest cover and disturbance regimes in the mountain forests of the Alps.

FOREST ECOL MANAG. 2017; 388: 43-56. WoS PubMed FullText FullText_BOKU

** Janda, P; Trotsiuk, V; Mikolas, M; Bace, R; Nagel, TA; Seidl, R; Seedre, M; Morrissey, RC; Kucbel, S; Jaloviar, P; Jasik, M; Vysoky, J; Samonil, P; Cada, V; Mrhalova, H; Labusova, J; Novakova, MH; Rydval, M; Mateju, L; Syoboda, M The historical disturbance regime of mountain Norway spruce forests in the Western Carpathians and its influence on current forest structure and composition.

FOREST ECOL MANAG. 2017; 388: 67-78. WoS PubMed FullText FullText_BOKU

** Kulakowski, D; Seidl, R; Holeksa, J; Kuuluvainen, T; Nagel, TA; Panayotov, M; Svoboda, M; Thorn, S; Vacchiano, G; Whitlock, C; Wohlgemuth, T; Bebi, P A walk on the wild side: Disturbance dynamics and the conservation and management of European mountain forest ecosystems.

FOREST ECOL MANAG. 2017; 388: 120-131. WoS PubMed FullText FullText_BOKU

** Neumann, M; Mues, V; Moreno, A; Hasenauer, H; Seidl, R; Climate variability drives recent tree mortality in Europe..

Glob Chang Biol. 2017; 23(11):4788-4797 WoS PubMed FullText FullText_BOKU

** Reyer, CPO; Bathgate, S; Blennow, K; Borges, JG; Bugmann, H; Delzon, S; Faias, SP; Garcia-Gonzalo, J; Gardiner, B; Gonzalez-Olabarria, JR; Gracia, C; Hernandez, JG; Kellomaki, S; Kramer, K; Lexer, MJ; Lindner, M; van der Maaten, E; Maroschek, M; Muys, B; Nicoll, B; Palahi, M; Palma, JHN; Paulo, JA; Peltola, H; Pukkala, T; Rammer, W; Ray, D; Sabate, S; Schelhaas, MJ; Seidl, R; Temperli, C; Tome, M; Yousefpour, R; Zimmermann, NE; Hanewinkel, M Are forest disturbances amplifying or canceling out climate change-induced productivity changes in European forests?.

ENVIRON RES LETT. 2017; 12(3): WoS PubMed FullText FullText_BOKU

** Seidl, R To Model or not to Model, That is no Longer the Question for Ecologists.

ECOSYSTEMS. 2017; 20(2): 222-228. WoS PubMed FullText FullText_BOKU

Seidl, R. (2017): Resilienz im Waldmanagement.

Österreichische Forstzeitung, 07/2017, 10-11; ISSN 1012-4667

** Seidl, R; Thom, D; Kautz, M; Martin-Benito, D; Peltoniemi, M; Vacchiano, G; Wild, J; Ascoli, D; Petr, M; Honkaniemi, J; Lexer, MJ; Trotsiuk, V; Mairota, P; Svoboda, M; Fabrika, M; Nagel, TA; Reyer, CPO Forest disturbances under climate change.

NAT CLIM CHANGE. 2017; 7(6): 395-402. WoS PubMed FullText FullText_BOKU

** Seidl, R; Vigl, F; Rossler, G; Neumann, M; Rammer, W Assessing the resilience of Norway spruce forests through a model-based reanalysis of thinning trials.

FOREST ECOL MANAG. 2017; 388: 3-12. WoS PubMed FullText FullText_BOKU

** Senf, C; Pflugmacher, D; Hostert, P; Seidl, R Using Landsat time series for characterizing forest disturbance dynamics in the coupled human and natural systems of Central Europe.

ISPRS J PHOTOGRAMM. 2017; 130: 453-463. WoS PubMed FullText FullText_BOKU

** Senf, C; Seidl, R; Hostert, P Remote sensing of forest insect disturbances: Current state and future directions.

INT J APPL EARTH OBS. 2017; 60: 49-60. WoS PubMed FullText FullText_BOKU

** Thom, D; Rammer, W; Seidl, R The impact of future forest dynamics on climate: interactive effects of changing vegetation and disturbance regimes.

ECOL MONOGR. 2017; 87(4): 665-684. WoS FullText FullText_BOKU

Albrich, K; Rammer, W; Thom, D; Seidl, R (2017): Providing multiple ecosystem services in the face of changing disturbance regimes.
[125th Anniversary congress IUFRO 2017 - Interconnecting Forests, Science and People, Freiburg im Breisgau, Germany, 18.09.2017 - 22.09.2017]

In: International Union of Forest Research Organizations, IUFRO 125th Anniversary Congress

Braziunas, K.H., Hansen, W.D., Seidl, R., Rammer, W., Turner, M.G. (2017): Age alone is not enough: Multiple drivers control postfire stand development in Rocky Mountain conifers.
[Annual Meeting of the Ecological Society of America, Portland, OR, USA, 06.08.2017 - 11.08.2017]

In: Ecological Society of America, Annual Meeting

Dullinger, S., Essl, F., Klonner, G., Rammer, W., Seidl R. (2017): Interactive effects of climate warming and invasive pests on European forest carbon storage.
[125th Anniversary congress IUFRO 2017 - Interconnecting Forests, Science and People, Freiburg, Germany, 18.09.2017 - 22.09.2017]

In: International Union of Forest Research Organizations, IUFRO 125th Anniversary Congress

Hansen, W.D., Braziunas, K.H., Seidl, R., Rammer, W., Turner, M.G.. (2017): A perfect storm: Multiple stressors interact to drive postfire regeneration failure of lodgepole pine and Douglas-fir forests in Yellowstone.
[Annual Meeting of the Ecological Society of America, Portland, OR, USA, 06.08.2017 - 11.08.2017]

In: Ecological Society of America, Annual Meeting

Seidl, R. (2017): Frontiers in forest disturbance research.
[125th Anniversary congress IUFRO 2017 - Interconnecting Forests, Science and People, Freiburg, Germany, 18.09.2017 - 22.09.2017]

In: International Union of Forest Research Organizations, IUFRO 125th Anniversary Congress

Seidl, R., Klonner, G., Rammer, W., Essl, F., Moreno, A., Neumann, M., Dullinger, S. (2017): The potential impact of invasive pests on carbon storage in Europe’s forests .
[10th Annual Meeting of the Specialist Group on Macroecology of the Ecological Society of Germany, Austria & Switzerland (GfÖ) 2017, Vienna, Austria, 19.04.2017 - 21.04.2017]

In: Dullinger, S., Essl, F., Hülber, K., Lenzner, B., Macroecology in space and time, Department of Botany and Biodiversity, Division of Conservation Biology, Vegetation and Landscape Ecology, University of Vienna

Seidl, R., Thom, D., Kautz, M., Martin-Benito, D., Peltoniemi, M., Vacchiano, G., Wild, J., Ascoli, D., Petr, M., Honkaniemi, J., Lexer, M., Trotsiuk, V., Mairota, P., Svoboda, M., Fabrika, M., Nagel, T., Reyer, C.P.O. (2017): Modeling changing forest disturbance regimes.
[125th Anniversary congress IUFRO 2017 - Interconnecting Forests, Science and People, Freiburg, Germany, 18.09.2017 - 22.09.2017]

In: International Union of Forest Research Organizations, IUFRO 125th Anniversary Congress

Seidl, R., Thom, D., Kautz, M., Martin-Benito, D., Peltoniemi, M., Vacchiano, G., Wild, J., Ascoli, D., Petr, M., Honkaniemi, J., Lexer, M.J., Trotsiuk, V., Mairota, P., Svoboda, M., Fabrika, M., Nagel, T.A., Reyer, C.P.O. (2017): Understanding and modeling forest disturbances under climate change.
[Robust projections of forests under climate change - data, methods and models. COST Action FP1304 PROFOUND – Final Event, Potsdam, Germany, 10.10.2017 - 11.10.2017]

In: Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Robust projections of forests under climate change - data, methods and models. COST Action FP1304 PROFOUND – Final Event

Senf, C., Seidl, R. (2017): Multi-scale drivers of forest disturbances across European temperate forests.
[125th Anniversary congress IUFRO 2017 - Interconnecting Forests, Science and People, Freiburg, Germany, 18.09.2017 - 22.09.2017]

In: International Union of Forest Research Organizations, IUFRO 125th Anniversary Congress

Senf, C., Seidl, R. (2017): Similarities and differences in forest disturbance patterns across the European temperate forest biome. [Poster]
[2nd International Conference on Forests, Bavarian Forest National Park 2017, Neuschönau, Germany, 26.04.2017 - 29.04.2017]

In: Bavarian Forest National Park, 2nd International Conference on Forests

Senf, C., Seidl, R. (2017): Similarities and differences in forest disturbance dynamics across the European temperate forest biome.
[10th Annual Meeting of the Specialist Group on Macroecology of the Ecological Society of Germany, Austria & Switzerland (GfÖ) 2017, Vienna, Austria, 19.04.2017 - 21.04.2017]

In: Dullinger, S., Essl, F., Hülber, K., Lenzner, B., Macroecology in space and time, Department of Botany and Biodiversity, Division of Conservation Biology, Vegetation and Landscape Ecology, University of Vienna

** Seidl, R; Donato, DC; Raffa, KF; Turner, MG; Spatial variability in tree regeneration after wildfire delays and dampens future bark beetle outbreaks..

Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2016; 113(46):13075-13080 WoS PubMed PUBMED Central FullText FullText_BOKU

Rammer, W; Seidl, R (2016): A simulation platform to assess forest landscape resilience.
[8th International Congress on Environmental Modelling and Software, Toulouse, France, 10.07.2016 - 14.07.2016]

In: Sauvage, S., Sánchez-Pérez, J.M., Rizzoli, A.E. (Eds.), Proceedings of the 8th International Congress on Environmental Modelling and Software, July 10-14, Toulouse,FRANCE; ISBN: 978-88-9035-745-9

Seidl, R. (2016): Changing climate and disturbance regimes in Europe's forests: impacts and resilience.
[Forest Management for Enhancing Resilience to Climate Change, Seoul, South Korea, 20.06.2016 - 21.06.2016]

In: Korean National Institute of Forest Science, 2016 International Climate Change Adaptation Symposium. Forest Management for Enhancing Resilience to Climate Change

Vorträge

Albrich, K., Rammer, W., Turner, M.G., Hansen, W., Ratajzak, Z., Braziunas, K., Seidl, R. (2019): Simulating forest resilience – a review .

Symposium„Perspectives of forest modeling“, APR 3, 2019, Leipzig

Rammer, W; Seidl, R (2019): Scaling Vegetation Dynamics - A novel deep learning based approach for modelling vegetation transitions across large spatial scales.

Symposium "Perspectives of forest modelling", APR 3-5, 2019, Leipzig

Sebald, J (2019): Forest management for climate robust mountain landscapes.

Seminar on Silviculture, Ecosystem Dynamics and Forest Management, DEC 5, 2019, Freising, GERMANY

Sebald, J; Rammer, W; Seidl, R (2019): P.E.T.S. - The Permanent Evaluation and Test Suite for iLand.

Forest Modeling Symposium , APR 3, 2019, Leipzig, GERMANY

Sebald, J; Senf, C; Seidl, R (2019): Mapping forest disturbances to quantify effects of forest cover and disturbance on natural hazard probability in the Eastern Alps .

Seminar on forest disturbances, OCT 21, 2019, Helsinki, FINLAND

Seidl, R. (2019): Resilienz in der Waldbewirtschaftung in einer Welt im Wandel.

Niederösterreichischer Förstertag, MAR 22, 2019, Lilienfeld

Seidl, R. (2019): Risikomanagement auf der Landschaftsebene.

9. Risikoworkshop, JUNE 25-26, 2019, Lohr am Main

Seidl, R. (2019): Klimawandel und Störungen in Österreichs Wäldern .

Der Wald in Not. Ist Vielfalt im Wald die Antwort auf den Klimawandel?, MAY 18, 2019, Hardegg

Seidl, R. (2019): Climate Change and Forest Disturbances in Europe.

ThinkForest: How to Respond to Forest Disturbances in Europe, APR 4, 2019, Prag

Seidl, R. (2019): Quo vadis forest modeling.

Perspectives of forest modeling, APR 3, 2019, Leipzig

Seidl, R. (2019): Waldbau im Klimawandel: Was erwartet uns, was können wir tun?.

Wald:Werkstatt 2019. Workshop des Landesforstdienstes , FEB 28, 2019, St. Gilgen

Seidl, R., Senf, C. (2019): Störungen in Mitteleuropas Wäldern haben sich in den letzten drei Jahrzehnten verdoppelt.

20. Österreichische Klimatag, APR 24-26, Wien

Seidl, R. (2018): Dead trees, live forests.

Science Day Special: Multidisciplinary perspectives on death, NOV 23, 2018, Wien

Seidl, R. (2018): Forest disturbances in a changing world .

Science Days 2018. Austrian Academy of Sciences, March 1-2, 2018, Vienna, Austria

Seidl, R. (2017): Zurück in die Zukunft des Waldes der Kalkalpen .

Luft, Wald, Boden, Wasser: 25 Jahre Umweltbeobachtung am Zöbelboden, NOV 6, 2017, Reichraming

Seidl, R. (2017): Diversität und Resilienz im Waldmanagement.

Österreichische Forsttagung 2017, June 01-02, 2017, Wien

Seidl, R. (2017): Die Auswirkungen von geänderten Klima- und Störungsregimes auf den Schutzwald .

Ländliche Neuordnung: Rolle der agrartechnischen Fachbereiche im Naturgefahrenmanagement, OCT 19-20, 2017, Innsbruck

Seidl, R (2016): Österreichs Wald im Klimawandel: Klimaopfer oder Klimaretter?.

Science VHS Wien, 06. Oct. 2016, Wien

Seidl, R. (2016): Changing disturbance regimes: Challenges and opportunities for forest management.

The challenge of global change: disturbance and risk in forest ecosystem management, Oct. 27-29, 2016, Narva, Estonia

Seidl, R. (2016): The paradox of forest disturbance.

ART & SCIENCE, University of Applied Arts Vienna, NOV 22, 2016, Wien

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