The effect of changing climate on potential risks from important insect pests on plant production in Austria and related adaptation options
Abstract
RIMPEST aims to assess upcoming risks from an array of most important and representative insect pests already occurring in Austria in a changing climate under crop production conditions, considering regional aspects and high spatial resolution of agricultural land use. The first main objective is to establish a data base (extension of the available COMBIRISK data base) for the research on thermophilic insects in Austria, which includes amongst others available data on pests, climate, weather, pest models and reported (weather-related) pest damages on crops as well as meta-information of protected data sources for related research activities. The second main objective is to validate and improve existing pest models for selected target pest insects for Austrian conditions and to generate new pest models where lacking. For those pest models, which will be used for simulations of pest trends under climate and crop scenarios, performance tests will be applied in selected case study regions. The third objective includes the simulation and analysis of pest trends under climate and crop scenarios, based on the pest models tested in Austrian case study regions. An ensemble of downscaled Austrian climate scenarios (ÖKS) will be used to estimate the range of future potential pest risks in the various Austrian crop growth regions. In cases where applicable and meaningful, such as for annual crops as maize, scenarios of crop rotation share of crops will be additionally included in the analysis. The fourth objective is addressed to stakeholder oriented dissemination and exploitation of results. This aspect is important, as stakeholders (framers) decisions of crop planning and management as well as pest management options are crucial for successful adaptation options to changing pest risks in Austria. Better awareness on the underlying processes determining pest risks will also help to implement recommendations for adaptations and support related policy activities.
Publikationen
Project staff
Josef Eitzinger
Univ.Prof. Dipl.-Ing. Dr.nat.techn. Josef Eitzinger
josef.eitzinger@boku.ac.at
Tel: +43 1 47654-81422
BOKU Project Leader
01.10.2021 - 30.09.2024
Sabina Thaler
Mag. Mag. Dr. Sabina Thaler
sabina.thaler@boku.ac.at
Tel: +43 1 47654-81420
Project Staff
01.10.2021 - 30.09.2024