Auswirkungen des Klimawandels auf Österreichs Wälder - Entwicklung und vergleichende Evaluierung unterschiedlicher Prognosemodelle (WAMOD)
Abstract
Forests are widely expected to face significant pressures from climate change over the coming century. Although the magnitudes of the projected temperature rises and precipitation changes are still uncertain, modelling based on mean figures shows that ecological, economic and social disruptions are likely. Ecological effects range from phenological changes and extensions of growing seasons to widespread forest structural changes, species migrations and extinctions. Warmer climates are overall expected to have a positive influence on the wood products industries, although some regions are predicted to benefit more than others and some may be disadvantaged. The social effects of climate change are highly uncertain, and projects to strengthen community resilience and reduce vulnerability are recommended. The purpose of this project is to analyse 1. The role of forests for the carbon cycle in Austria 2. Analyse adaptation options and scenarios 3. Compare different modeling tools (population versus mechanistic approaches) to assess the potential impact of climate change on forest ecosystems in Austria. The data for this study come from the national forest inventory plus from our own field experiments.
climate change Carbon cycle Adaptation Modeling
Publikationen
Project staff
Hubert Hasenauer
Univ.Prof. Dipl.-Ing. Dr.nat.techn. DDr.h.c. Hubert Hasenauer
hubert.hasenauer@boku.ac.at
Tel: +43 1 47654-91301, 91311
Project Leader
01.11.2008 - 30.06.2010
Manfred Josef Lexer
Univ.Prof. Dipl.-Ing. Dr.nat.techn. Manfred Josef Lexer
mj.lexer@boku.ac.at
Tel: +43 1 47654-91316
Sub Projectleader
01.11.2008 - 30.06.2010
Stephan Pietsch
Mag. Dr. Stephan Pietsch
stephan.pietsch@boku.ac.at
Project Staff
01.11.2008 - 30.06.2010
Elisabeth Pötzelsberger
Dipl.-Ing. Dr. Elisabeth Pötzelsberger
Project Staff
01.11.2008 - 30.06.2010
Rupert Seidl
Dipl.-Ing. Dr. Rupert Seidl
rupert.seidl@boku.ac.at
Project Staff
01.11.2008 - 30.06.2010