Modelling extreme events and disturbance regimes in forest ecosystems under climate change
Abstract
DISTURBANCE aims at the development of integrated disturbance models for temperate alpine forest ecosystems which explicitely consider climatic drivers (heat, drought, windstorms), the interactions of disturbances by wind and bark beetles, forest structure and composition as well as management history. For the first time climate extremes (e.g., proxies for storminess) will be downscaled from GCMs to local scale and used in a scenario analysis of possible future disturbance regimes in alpine forests. The expected results of DISTURBANCE will (a) allow the consistent inclusion of the most relevant disturbance factors in vulnerability assessments of forest management, and (b) through improved regional climate scenario techniques provide new opportunities also for other sectors to improve climate change vulnerability assessments.
keywords climate change disturbances modelling forest management
Publikationen
Assessing the resilience of Norway spruce forests through a model-based reanalysis of thinning trials
Autoren: Seidl, R; Vigl, F; Rossler, G; Neumann, M; Rammer, W Jahr: 2017
Journal articles
Project staff
Manfred Josef Lexer
Univ.Prof. Dipl.-Ing. Dr.nat.techn. Manfred Josef Lexer
mj.lexer@boku.ac.at
Tel: +43 1 47654-91316
BOKU Project Leader
01.04.2010 - 31.03.2013
BOKU partners
External partners
Zentralanstalt für Meteorologie und Geodynamik
none
partner