BOKU - Universität für Bodenkultur Wien - Forschungsinformationssystem

Gewählte Publikation:

Kipling, RP; Topp, CFE; Bannink, A; Bartley, DJ; Blanco-Penedo, I; Cortignani, R; del Prado, A; Dono, G; Faverdin, P; Graux, AI; Hutchings, NJ; Lauwers, L; Gulzari, SO; Reidsma, P; Rolinski, S; Ruiz-Ramos, M; Sandars, DL; Sandor, R; Schonhart, M; Seddaiu, G; van Middelkoop, J; Shrestha, S; Weindl, I; Eory, V.
(2019): To what extent is climate change adaptation a novel challenge for agricultural modellers?
ENVIRON MODELL SOFTW. 2019; 120, UNSP 104492 FullText FullText_BOKU

Abstract:
Modelling is key to adapting agriculture to climate change (CC), facilitating evaluation of the impacts and efficacy of adaptation measures, and the design of optimal strategies. Although there are many challenges to modelling agricultural CC adaptation, it is unclear whether these are novel or, whether adaptation merely adds new motivations to old challenges. Here, qualitative analysis of modellers' views revealed three categories of challenge: Content, Use, and Capacity. Triangulation of findings with reviews of agricultural modelling and Climate Change Risk Assessment was then used to highlight challenges specific to modelling adaptation. These were refined through literature review, focussing attention on how the progressive nature of CC affects the role and impact of modelling. Specific challenges identified were: Scope of adaptations modelled, Information on future adaptation, Collaboration to tackle novel challenges, Optimisation under progressive change with thresholds, and Responsibility given the sensitivity of future outcomes to initial choices under progressive change.
Autor*innen der BOKU Wien:
Schönhart Martin
BOKU Gendermonitor:


Find related publications in this database (Keywords)
Adaptation
Agricultural modelling
Climate change
Research challenges


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