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MISO - Material Inputs, Stocks and Outputs: A model of global material stocks and flows

Project management Krausmann Fridolin
organizational unit Institute of Social Ecology (SEC)
duration 01.01.2015 to- 31.12.2018
Research project (§ 26 & § 27)
Program Einzelprojekte
Funder Austrian Science Fund (FWF)
Competencies 
  • Boden und Landökosysteme
  • Wasser - Atmosphäre - Umwelt
  • Lebensraum und Landschaft
  • Nachwachsende Rohstoffe und neue Technologien
  • Lebensmittel, Ernährung, Gesundheit
  • Nanowissenschaften und -technologie

Abstract

Understanding global patterns and trajectories of socio-economic metabolism is of key importance to develop effective policies to reduce society’s resource demand and for the transition towards a more sustainable industrial metabolism.This project develops a dynamic integrated model of material inputs, stocks and outputs (MISO). Using an existing database of global material use we provide a comprehensive estimate of historic stocks and stock related flows and calculate resource use scenarios for 2050. In its retrospective part, the project investigates the evolution of global socio-economic material stocks and flows since 1900, applying a dynamic top-down modelling approach and taking uncertainties into account. The results serve as basis for an analysis of global patterns of stocks and flows and their development during the metabolic transition. In the prospective part of the project we use the developed model and the insights from the analysis of historical stock-flow dynamics to calculate scenarios for the future development of material demand, stocks and waste production. This yields insights how changes in inflows, in average lifetimes of stocks and in recycling rates interact and how they determine future demand for virgin materials and waste production. The outcomes of the project contribute to the advancement of the understanding of the ongoing metabolic transition. They provide new insights into potentials and limitations for a circular economy of high significance for sustainability science and policy makers.

Publications

Project staff

Fridolin Krausmann

Univ.Prof. Dr. Fridolin Krausmann
fridolin.krausmann@boku.ac.at
Tel: +43 1 47654-73713

Project Leader

01.01.2015 - 31.12.2018

Willi Haas

Dipl.-Ing. Dr. Willi Haas
willi.haas@boku.ac.at
Tel: +43 1 47654-73720

Project Staff

01.01.2015 - 31.12.2018

Christian Lauk

Mag.rer.nat. Dr.phil. Christian Lauk
christian.lauk@boku.ac.at
Tel: +43 1 47654-73725

Project Staff

01.01.2015 - 31.12.2018

Andreas Mayer

Mag. Dr.rer.soc.oec. Andreas Mayer
andreas.mayer@boku.ac.at
Tel: +43 1 47654-73727

Project Staff

01.01.2015 - 31.12.2018

Barbara Plank

Barbara Plank B.Sc. MSc.
barbara.plank@boku.ac.at

Project Staff

01.01.2015 - 31.12.2018

Anke Schaffartzik

Mag.rer.soc.oec. Dr.phil. Anke Schaffartzik B.Sc.

Project Staff

01.01.2015 - 31.12.2018

Dominik Wiedenhofer

Mag. Dr. Dominik Wiedenhofer Bakk.techn.
dominik.wiedenhofer@boku.ac.at
Tel: +43 1 47654-73729

Project Staff

01.01.2015 - 31.12.2018

BOKU partners

Institute of Social Ecology (SEC)

role coordinator