Safeguarding the supply of raw material: dealing with risk and uncertainty in the context of forest management planning
Abstract
Forest management planning and harvest scheduling are still mostly based on classical models of sustainable timber production. Invariable frame conditions, total information and the absence of any disturbances are the main characteristics of these concepts. In contrast to this, various risks affecting production processes and timber markets are of great practical significance. Moreover, long-term developments are generally associated with uncertainty. Dealing explicitly with risk and uncertainty is by no means common in forest management planning, irrespective of the bulk of specific literature and the variety of modelling approaches. Conversely, respective considerations on behalf of forest owners or foresters are assumed to be only vaguely founded and are hardly ever disclosed. The project is meant to lessen this gap between science and practice. Inconsistencies or other shortcomings of conventional planning systems are to be identified and the practicability and usefulness of scientific approaches are to be assessed. Ultimately, the significance of management planning shall be improved, thereby also contributing to the efficiency of timber production in the long run.
keywords forest management planning risk management uncertainty
Publikationen
Risikomanagement im Rahmen der Forsteinrichtung
Autoren: Sekot, W; Mutenthaler, D Jahr: 2014
Journal articles
Risikomanagement und Diversifikation im Forstbetrieb
Autoren: Mutenthaler, D; Sekot, W; Ungerböck, E Jahr: 2016
Journal articles
Toolkit für ein explizites Risikomanagement in der Forsteinrichtung
Autoren: Sekot, W; Mutenthaler, D Jahr: 2016
Newspaper / Magazine article
Risk management in production planning and harvest scheduling
Autoren: Mutenthaler, D Jahr: 2016
Conference & Workshop proceedings, paper, abstract
Project staff
Walter Sekot
Univ.Prof. Dipl.-Ing. Dr.nat.techn. Walter Sekot
walter.sekot@boku.ac.at
Tel: +43 1 47654-73321
Project Leader
01.01.2014 - 31.12.2016