Determining and Visualizing Impacts of Greenhouse Climate Rainfall in Alpine Watersheds on Torrential Disasters
Abstract
Torrential processes like debris flows and debris floods represent a serious hazard in Alpine regions. Changing climatic conditions are likely to have direct and potentially drastic impacts on the frequency and ensuing magnitude of torrential disasters. One of the primary pre-conditions for a realistic determination of potential future hazards is a solid and as complete as possible time series on past and contemporary events. Based on retrospective analyses and predictions of changes of disposition and triggering condi-tions we aim to assess magnitude and frequency of potential future torrential disasters for three different watersheds in Austria. Scenario-defined hazard maps will be derived and the associated risks assessed. The results will help engineers and decision makers in the prevention of future disasters, their mitigation as well as for adaptation purposes.
keywords climate change natural hazards dendrogeomorphology modeling
Publikationen
Project staff
Roland Kaitna
Assoc. Prof. Dr. Roland Kaitna
roland.kaitna@boku.ac.at
Tel: +43 1 47654-87113
Project Leader
01.01.2011 - 28.02.2014
BOKU partners
External partners
Österreichisches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung
DI Dr. Franz Sinabell
partner
Wegener Zentrum für Klima und Globalen Wandel
Mag. Dr. Andreas Gobiet
partner
University of Bern, Dendrolab
Dr. Markus Stoffel
partner