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Agent-based modeling of climate change adaptation in forest management

Project Leader
Seidl Rupert, Project Leader
Klima- und Energiefonds
Type of Research
Applied Research
Project partners
European Forest Institute - Central-East and South-East European Regional Office, Austria.
Function of the Project Partner: Partner
Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences, Alnarp, Faculty of Landscape Planning, Horticulture and Agricultural Sciences, Sweden.
Function of the Project Partner: Partner
Rammer Werner, Co-worker
BOKU Research Units
Institute of Silviculture
Funded by
Klima- und Energiefonds, Gumpendorferstrasse 5/22, 1060 Wien, Austria
The provisioning of vital forest ecosystem services is threatened by climate change. The thus required adaptation relies heavily on simulation tools for scenario analysis. To alleviate current deficiencies in simulating adaptive behavior we develop an agent-based model of forest management, and couple it with a dynamic landscape model. Using this novel tool we address questions critical for the operational implementation of adaptation, such as effectiveness, lead times, and spatial dependencies.
computer-aided simulation; forestry; silviculture;
agent-based model; simulation modeling; climate change adaptation; sustainable forest management; forest disturbance regimes;

Seidl, R. (2014): Klima und Waldschäden im Wandel – Herausforderung für den Waldbau.

Was tun, wenn's kracht? Wirkungsvolles Management von Kalamitäten. Forstliche Ausbildungsstätte Pichl, FEB. 27, 2014, Mitterdorf im Mürztal

Rammer, W Seidl, R (2014): Qt powered tools for the modelling of forest ecosystems.

Qt Developer Days 2014 Europe, OCT 6-8, 2014, Berlin

Rammer, W; Seidl, R (2014): Managing change: an agent-based model of adaptive forest management at the landscape scale.

ECEM 2014 - Beyond boundaries: next generation modelling - October 27-30, 2014, Marrakech, MOROCCO, OCT 27-30, 2014, Marrakech

** Seidl, R The Shape of Ecosystem Management to Come: Anticipating Risks and Fostering Resilience.

BIOSCIENCE. 2014; 64(12): 1159-1169. WoS FullText FullText_BOKU

Rammer, W; Seidl, R; Aggestam, F; Blennow, K; Wolfslehner; B (2015): Wie sensitiv reagieren WaldbewirtschafterInnen auf klimabedingte Änderungen in ökologischen Prozessen?.
[16. Österreichischer Klimatag, Vienna, AUSTRIA, APR 28-30, 2015]

In: Programm- und Organisationskomitee, Tagungsband 16. Österreichischer Klimatag - Aktuelle Klimaforschung in Österreich

Seidl, R., Rammer, W. (2015): Simulation von dynamischen Rückkoppelungen zwischen Wald und seinen Bewirtschaftern unter sich wandelnden Klimabedingungen.
[16. Klimatag - Aktuelle Klimaforschung in Österreich, Wien, 28.-30. April 2015]

In: Climate Change Centre Austria, Tagungsband 16. Klimatag - Aktuelle Klimaforschung in Österreich

Seidl, R., Rammer, W., Aggestam, F., Blennow, K., Wolfslehner, B. (2015): Agent-based modeling of climate change adaptation in forest management.

Finanziert von: Climate and Energy Fund ACRP, 74

** Seidl, R; Aggestam, F; Rammer, W; Blennow, K; Wolfslehner, B; The sensitivity of current and future forest managers to climate-induced changes in ecological processes..

Ambio. 2016; 45(4):430-441 WoS PubMed PUBMED Central FullText FullText_BOKU

** Rammer, W; Seidl, R Coupling human and natural systems: Simulating adaptive management agents in dynamically changing forest landscapes.

GLOBAL ENVIRON CHANG. 2015; 35: 475-485. WoS FullText FullText_BOKU

Seidl, R., Rammer, W., Wolfslehner, B. (2016): Wie Waldbewirtschafter zum Klimawandel stehen.

Österreichische Forstzeitung, 03/16, 34-35; ISSN 1012-4667

Seidl, R., Vigl, F., Rössler, G., Neumann, M., Rammer, W. (2016): Assessing forest resilience in mountain forests of Central Europe: A model-based reanalysis of thinning trials.

Ecology of Mountain Forest Ecosystems in Europe, February 15-19, 2016, Davos, Switzerland

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